I want to believe, but the recalled 2016 vote is only Trump +15 rather than Trump +21.
Ooo good observation. Taking with more of a grain of salt than I was before, maybe to the point my stomach gets a bit uncomfortable, but not enough salt to be deadly. There is reason to think the MT electorate this year will have a lot of non-voters from 2016, because Tester somehow won about 75K more votes the Clinton despite only winning over 7% of Trump voters according to exit polls. I have a hard time seeing someone who voted in 2018 who will not be voting in 2020 unless they went to jail or died.