PPP-MT: Bullock+1
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 02:57:02 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  PPP-MT: Bullock+1
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: PPP-MT: Bullock+1  (Read 1818 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,573
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 27, 2020, 03:34:22 PM »

Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,587
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 03:35:15 PM »

nope
Logged
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,047


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2020, 03:36:13 PM »

Safe R.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,781
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2020, 03:36:36 PM »

.

Lean D
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2020, 03:37:00 PM »

Bullock needs to overperform Biden by more than 3.
Logged
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,682
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2020, 03:37:50 PM »

Bullock is going to finish strong pounding hard all the way, no stops, no distractions.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,781
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2020, 03:39:08 PM »

But MT Treasurer and Xing told me it was Likely R, not.
Logged
new_patomic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2020, 03:39:35 PM »

One of these numbers is incorrect
Logged
One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,042


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2020, 03:43:54 PM »

Bullock is going to finish strong pounding hard all the way, no stops, no distractions.

MT is a very lucky girl
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2020, 03:44:46 PM »

The fact that Bullock is overperforming Biden’s % by only 1 is pretty embarrassing.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2020, 04:00:17 PM »

You guys know that it’s not some iron law of politics that the same gap between Biden and Bullock will always exist right? If Biden is gaining in the state then it’s not surprising that most of his new supporters will be formerly Trump/Bullock or Undecided/Bullock swing voters.
Logged
One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,042


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2020, 04:01:25 PM »

You guys know that it’s not some iron law of politics that the same gap between Biden and Bullock will always exist right? If Biden is gaining in the state then it’s not surprising that most of his new supporters will be formerly Trump/Bullock or Undecided/Bullock swing voters.

Yes this is a possibility, but I will need more polls to confirm this or I will remain skeptical lol
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,569


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2020, 04:05:45 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2020, 04:09:18 PM by ProgressiveModerate »

At least he's leading, but I wish he was overperforming Biden by more. Part of this could be a large swing towards Biden in MT at the top of the ticket.
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,587
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2020, 04:07:04 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2020, 04:18:01 PM by KaiserDave »

Ugh Woodbury recommended my post

I have to travel to a Himalayan spring and cleanse myself for 5 moons
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,583
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2020, 04:16:18 PM »

While the presidential numbers are questionable, senate could make sense. Bullock has definitely an almost 50/50 chance of winning.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2020, 04:21:39 PM »

While the presidential numbers are questionable, senate could make sense. Bullock has definitely an almost 50/50 chance of winning.
Yeah if I had to bet money I’d still probably go with Daines but MT Dems and Bullock definitely know how to grind out close races in this state.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,771


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2020, 04:56:54 PM »

For Protect Our Care (D)
October 26-27
886 voters
MoE: 3.3%
Changes with October 9-10 poll (not for partisan sponsor)

Bullock 48% (n/c)
Daines 47% (-1)
Not sure 6% (+2)
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,577
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2020, 05:02:59 PM »

I want to believe, but the recalled 2016 vote is only Trump +15 rather than Trump +21.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,781
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 27, 2020, 05:16:06 PM »

I want to believe, but the recalled 2016 vote is only Trump +15 rather than Trump +21.
A Dem election passed after 2016, it's called 2018, Tester is backing Bullock and he beat Rosendale MT in a midterm

This isn't about MT, both Indy Rep or MT Treasurer and Xing have been saying all year long Daines was a shoe in, they are wrong just like IA and he still has IA leaning R after 6/9 polls showed Greenfield ahead
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,066


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 27, 2020, 06:07:32 PM »

At least he's leading, but I wish he was overperforming Biden by more. Part of this could be a large swing towards Biden in MT at the top of the ticket.

Yeah, it might be that a lot of the people who would usually be Trump-Bullock voters are now Biden-Bullock voters. Hopefully that's the case and the reduced gap reflects Biden performing well. Otherwise, the Montana Democratic Party dropped the ball this year.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,937
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2020, 07:17:47 PM »

The fact that Bullock is overperforming Biden’s % by only 1 is pretty embarrassing.

Why is it that Montana's races seem to be close across the board, but with Republicans still favored? This might be an indicator of how polarization, such as it is, is dictating the context in which Biden's national victory will occur (assuming of course, that it does occur).
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,451
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2020, 07:22:23 PM »

Ugh Woodbury recommended my post

I have to travel to a Himalayan spring and cleanse myself for 5 moons

Not good enough. Unfortunately, the penalty for earning a Woodbury recommendation is a permaban. Zero tolerance, no exceptions.

Mods, you know what to do.
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,587
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 27, 2020, 07:23:30 PM »

Ugh Woodbury recommended my post

I have to travel to a Himalayan spring and cleanse myself for 5 moons

Not good enough. Unfortunately, the penalty for earning a Woodbury recommendation is a permaban. Zero tolerance, no exceptions.

Mods, you know what to do.

I understand and accept the consequences.
Logged
GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,735


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 27, 2020, 07:26:23 PM »

My heart is with you, KaiserDave.

Anyways, I want to believe, but I'll believe it when I see it. Think it flips after both Georgia seats but before SC (cold take, I know).
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,569


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 27, 2020, 07:28:03 PM »

I want to believe, but the recalled 2016 vote is only Trump +15 rather than Trump +21.

Ooo good observation. Taking with more of a grain of salt than I was before, maybe to the point my stomach gets a bit uncomfortable, but not enough salt to be deadly. There is reason to think the MT electorate this year will have a lot of non-voters from 2016, because Tester somehow won about 75K more votes the Clinton despite only winning over 7% of Trump voters according to exit polls. I have a hard time seeing someone who voted in 2018 who will not be voting in 2020 unless they went to jail or died.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.046 seconds with 13 queries.