AZ - OHPI: Biden+3
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  AZ - OHPI: Biden+3
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Author Topic: AZ - OHPI: Biden+3  (Read 1507 times)
n1240
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« on: October 27, 2020, 01:43:45 PM »

https://ohpredictive.com/press-releases/poll-biden-maintains-small-lead-in-arizona/

Biden 49
Trump 46
Jorgensen 3

10/22-25, 716 LV
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VAR
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 01:45:25 PM »

Biden up 51-45 in Maricopa.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2020, 01:46:05 PM »

Never forget when they had McSally winning the Senate race in 2018. Makes me continue to think Biden will win by 4/5.
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Horus
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2020, 01:46:59 PM »

Not great.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2020, 01:47:35 PM »

Was 50-47 in early October.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2020, 01:48:03 PM »

I'll take it
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2020, 01:48:23 PM »

Lol Jorgensen with 3% I doubt she gets that much
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Ljube
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2020, 01:52:11 PM »

So, no real change compared to their poll in early October?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2020, 01:52:40 PM »

MoE: 3.7%
Changes with October 4-8

Biden 49% (n/c)
Trump 46% (+1)
Jorgensen 3% (-1)
Refused 1% (+1 from at 0% but with some voters)
Unsure/undecided 1% (-1)
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Person Man
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2020, 01:52:53 PM »

They had McSally by 1 this time two years ago.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2020, 01:53:03 PM »

Never forget when they had McSally winning the Senate race in 2018. Makes me continue to think Biden will win by 4/5.

They literally had a poll with McSally up by 7 at the end of October as well. Agree on Biden probably winning here by 4-5 points.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2020, 01:53:29 PM »


Why is this not great? This is proof that basically nothing has changed throughout the month. There is no "tightening" in Arizona despite what NBC News inexplicably seems to think.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2020, 01:54:41 PM »



This is essentially a new poll.
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Hammy
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2020, 01:58:06 PM »


I don't see how anyone can see Biden being +3 in a state Dems overperformed by 2-3 points as "not great" unless you're hoping for a Trump win.


Why is this not great? This is proof that basically nothing has changed throughout the month. There is no "tightening" in Arizona despite what NBC News inexplicably seems to think.

"Muh Tightening" gets more clicks and views, news is purely about making money even at the cost of reporting things accurately.
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xavier110
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2020, 02:08:33 PM »


This is the ball game.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2020, 02:46:28 AM »

Wow
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