2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2
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Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2  (Read 84693 times)
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #850 on: October 27, 2020, 02:55:50 PM »
Quote from: GP270watch on October 27, 2020, 02:48:06 PM
Quote from: Bootes Void on October 27, 2020, 02:36:18 PM

Has VBM slowed down, also does VBM speed up in the final week?

 Vote by mail doesn't come in hourly updates. It has to be received, processed(checked for signature and integrity) and then it's released usually in tranches. There are still a lot of outstanding VBM ballots for Democrats and Republicans and a portion of mail ballots are never "returned". The problem is with Dejoy's USPS leadership playing stupid games, who knows where these ballots are.

 In 2016 Democrats had 1,049,809 ballots returned and 265,120 unreturned
             Republcians had 1,108,053 ballots retuned and 201,144 unreturned

 From following Florida elections Democrats usually have a higher percentage of unreturned ballots for some reason.


Dejoy is definitely engaging in suppression. Anyways, If people have mailed in their ballots and havent gotten a notice of approval or havent mailed it in yet by this friday, they should do round the clock calls to get them to vote in person otherwise their vote may not count
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Flabuckeye
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« Reply #851 on: October 27, 2020, 02:59:59 PM »

Here come the NPAs!!!!!

Florida Cumulative Total at 1pm

Dems  2,685,500   +63,017 today
Reps   2,383,218   + 91,215 today
NPAs   1,278,835   +129,907 today
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #852 on: October 27, 2020, 03:04:31 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on October 27, 2020, 02:55:50 PM
Dejoy is definitely engaging in suppression. Anyways, If people have mailed in their ballots and havent gotten a notice of approval or havent mailed it in yet by this friday, they should do round the clock calls to get them to vote in person otherwise their vote may not count

They are.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #853 on: October 27, 2020, 03:10:25 PM »
Very impressed with 70% one week before the election for Democrats! Can we get into the 90% range by Election Day?
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #854 on: October 27, 2020, 03:12:41 PM »
Day 14 of early voting in Texas (October 26)

(In-person + VBM)  (Bolded means they crossed 100% totals yesterday)

GREATER HOUSTON
HARRIS COUNTY               1,149,047    46.3%    2016:   87.6%    2018:   95.1%
FORT BEND COUNTY            262,281    54.4%   2016: 100.1%   2018: 102.7%
MONTGOMERY COUNTY       189,261    51.1%    2016:   92.5%    2018:   99.6%
GALVESTON COUNTY           116,275    50.9%    2016:   94.6%   2018: 102.3%

DALLAS-FORT WORTH
DALLAS COUNTY                  632,961    45.3%    2016:    83.4%   2018:     87.0%
TARRANT COUNTY               572,833    47.2%     2016:   85.7%   2018:     91.2%
COLLIN COUNTY                  372,403    57.4%    2016: 103.0%   2018: 104.6%
DENTON COUNTY                314,069     55.6%    2016:  105.2%   2018:   106.2%

SAN ANTONIO
BEXAR COUNTY                   542,660     45.6%    2016:   92.0%   2018:    98.7%

GREATER AUSTIN
TRAVIS COUNTY                  448,419     52.4%    2016:   95.7%   2018:   92.6%
WILLIAMSON COUNTY        215,460     57.2%    2016: 106.1%   2018: 103.5%
HAYS COUNTY                       78,953     51.7%    2016: 109.4%   2018:    99.0%

EL PASO
EL PASO COUNTY                178,004     36.4%    2016:   83.2%    2018:   87.4%

SOUTH TEXAS
HIDALGO COUNTY              147,866     37.8%    2016:   85.3%    2018:   97.4%
NUECES COUNTY                  90,253     42.6%    2016:   86.5%    2018:   96.0%
CAMERON COUNTY               76,595     35.0%    2016:   83.2%    2018:   98.3%
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soundchaser
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« Reply #855 on: October 27, 2020, 03:14:52 PM »
Texas turnout looking very strong for Biden. My gut tells me pollsters have missed something there.
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American2020
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« Reply #856 on: October 27, 2020, 03:27:04 PM »
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #857 on: October 27, 2020, 03:51:49 PM »
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xavier110
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« Reply #858 on: October 27, 2020, 03:52:24 PM »
We're now at 1.85 million AZ ballots processed. That's about 70% of the total 2016 vote (early+election day = 2.65m) in AZ.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #859 on: October 27, 2020, 03:56:48 PM »
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #860 on: October 27, 2020, 03:59:19 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 27, 2020, 03:51:49 PM

Nice
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SLA8
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« Reply #861 on: October 27, 2020, 04:00:12 PM »
https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1321184466015080451
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #862 on: October 27, 2020, 04:01:22 PM »
We are at 69.5 million votes and 50.4% of total 2016 votes!!
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #863 on: October 27, 2020, 04:02:11 PM »

If I see one more targetsmart link in here....
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #864 on: October 27, 2020, 04:03:03 PM »
TargetSmart?
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Flabuckeye
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« Reply #865 on: October 27, 2020, 04:06:38 PM »
Quote from: Flabuckeye on October 27, 2020, 02:59:59 PM
Here come the NPAs!!!!!

Florida Cumulative Total at 1pm

Dems  2,685,500   +63,017 today
Reps   2,383,218   + 91,215 today
NPAs   1,278,835   +129,907 today
[/s]


I apologize....this is an error.   The twitter user I was quoting was wrong. 
The real numbers for today as of 5pm are now

Dems +110,008
Reps  +148,286
NPAs plus Others is +78,859
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #866 on: October 27, 2020, 04:21:57 PM »
TargetSmart being posted by rookie posters every 2 pages dissuades me from ever visiting this thread.
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Hnv1
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« Reply #867 on: October 27, 2020, 04:36:09 PM »
Quote from: White Cloud on October 27, 2020, 04:11:20 PM
It appears that young people are not voting in Wisconsin in high numbers. 1.3 million votes cast already and only 5% is 18-29 demographic.
Are you talking about voting in person only or by mail as well? Considering Dane’s figure I can’t see it being so low
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republican1993
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« Reply #868 on: October 27, 2020, 04:41:32 PM »
Quote from: The Other Castro on October 27, 2020, 03:56:48 PM


Let's see if Republicans close the gap by this weekend since things are in reverse this year.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #869 on: October 27, 2020, 04:42:55 PM »
Quote from: Hnv1 on October 27, 2020, 04:36:09 PM
Quote from: White Cloud on October 27, 2020, 04:11:20 PM
It appears that young people are not voting in Wisconsin in high numbers. 1.3 million votes cast already and only 5% is 18-29 demographic.
Are you talking about voting in person only or by mail as well? Considering Dane’s figure I can’t see it being so low

See LimoLiberal's post above.
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Ljube
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« Reply #870 on: October 27, 2020, 04:48:49 PM »
Quote from: White Cloud on October 27, 2020, 04:46:07 PM
Quote from: Hnv1 on October 27, 2020, 04:36:09 PM
Quote from: White Cloud on October 27, 2020, 04:11:20 PM
It appears that young people are not voting in Wisconsin in high numbers. 1.3 million votes cast already and only 5% is 18-29 demographic.
Are you talking about voting in person only or by mail as well? Considering Dane’s figure I can’t see it being so low

The link that I posted from NBC news says it's in-person and mail-in combined. It doesn't specify if TargetSmart is the source for the age data.

It is TargetSmart. But their age data should be ok.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #871 on: October 27, 2020, 05:00:51 PM »
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
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« Reply #872 on: October 27, 2020, 05:04:23 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 27, 2020, 05:00:51 PM


Given Texas' strict mail-in rules, wouldn't these be mostly (R) votes?
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soundchaser
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« Reply #873 on: October 27, 2020, 05:04:45 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 27, 2020, 05:00:51 PM


They figured out Bagel's "lie about being disabled" scheme.
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cvparty
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« Reply #874 on: October 27, 2020, 05:06:01 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 27, 2020, 05:00:51 PM

it’s a scanning issue, the votes themelves aren’t being rejected. election officials are replicating the ballots to make sure they are counted correctly
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