2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Write off Florida. Write off Ohio. Even a sizable segment of Biden's campaign team wanted to do such, but special interests and deluded pundits stuck in the 00s won the day ultimately.

Do what I've been doing for the past 4 years and you'll sleep better at night.

Doomer thoughts of Texas and Georgia? I think Dems still stand a chance.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Write off Florida. Write off Ohio. Even a sizable segment of Biden's campaign team wanted to do such, but special interests and deluded pundits stuck in the 00s won the day ultimately.

Do what I've been doing for the past 4 years and you'll sleep better at night.

Except Biden will win Florida, Why write it off?

[Adam Griffin]

Top 10, % of 2016 Vote (as of right now, according to ElectProject):

HI: 104.5
TX: 100.6
MT: 91.2
TN: 89.6
WA: 88.0
NM: 87.9
GA: 86.9
NC: 85.6
OR: 82.4
NV: 82.2

[Gass3268]

I have to imagine that's a big reason why Black and Hispanic Democrats are waiting to vote.

[Tender Branson]

Why are CA, UT and NJ lagging so far behind other all-Mail states ?

I thought these states have sent mail ballots to all registered voters too this year ?

[Gass3268]

Another good article breaking down how counties in PA will be counting next week

The fact that Philadelphia, the Collar Counties and Allegheny are starting at 7:00 AM on Election Day, have upgraded their capabilities (more processing and letter opening machines), have promised to give regular counting updates, and will go 24/7 until every vote is counted makes me feel a bit better about Pennsylvania.

[Holmes]

Why are CA, UT and NJ lagging so far behind other all-Mail states ?

I thought these states have sent mail ballots to all registered voters too this year ?

California did mail a ballot to all voters but it also has in person voting on Tuesday.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Why are CA, UT and NJ lagging so far behind other all-Mail states ?

I thought these states have sent mail ballots to all registered voters too this year ?

Safe state syndrome.

Also, CA has pretty forgiving deadlines.

[GP270watch]

The video looks worse than it is. There is plenty of regular mail mixed in their. Those aren't boxes and boxes of just unsorted ballots.

 There is no good way to spin first class mail sitting in the same room for a week, when also mixed with voting ballots, sorry.

[Gass3268]

Why are CA, UT and NJ lagging so far behind other all-Mail states ?

I thought these states have sent mail ballots to all registered voters too this year ?

Safe state syndrome.

Also, CA has pretty forgiving deadlines.

California's numbers right now are actually pretty amazing given their past history.

[BudgieForce]

The video looks worse than it is. There is plenty of regular mail mixed in their. Those aren't boxes and boxes of just unsorted ballots.

 There is no good way to spin first class mail sitting in the same room for multiple days, when also mixed with voting ballots, sorry.

I'm not saying its a good thing. But I'm also not going to write off an entire state because a post office in Homestead is backed up.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

https://twitter.com/thedailybeast/status/1322231456178077698

[Landslide Lyndon]

I'll just put it here.

https://twitter.com/EricLevitz/status/1322245799682711553

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I'll just put it here.

https://twitter.com/EricLevitz/status/1322245799682711553

Lina Hidalgo is less than thirty years old?! That 1. makes a lot of sense given how attractive she is and 2. is really impressive given how high-profile and how powerful her position apparently is these days.

[Tender Branson]

2.3 million votes now returned in CO.

Republicans have returned 50k ballots yesterday, Dems 40k.

Dems remain far ahead though by more than 150k returned ballots.

In 2016, Republicans finished slightly ahead of Dems by a few thousand ballots.

This time, Dems should come out 100k ballots ahead by Tuesday.

[xavier110]

I'll just put it here.

https://twitter.com/EricLevitz/status/1322245799682711553

Maricopa County electing a Democrat County Recoder -- and Arizona electing Hobbs Secretary of State -- were also huge. These races do matter.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I'll just put it here.

https://twitter.com/EricLevitz/status/1322245799682711553

Maricopa County electing a Democrat County Recoder -- and Arizona electing Hobbs Secretary of State -- were also huge. These races do matter.

I've said before that, in terms of people's day-to-day lives, the most important position on the ballot in my town this year is Franklin County Register of Probate. (However, it was unopposed.)

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/thedailybeast/status/1322231456178077698

He needs to get them to the post offices in Miami-Dade.

[Tender Branson]

My turnout estimate for CO would be 3-3.5 million ballots.

Up significantly from the 2.86 million in 2016.

I expect ca. 3 million mail ballots by Tuesday evening and another few hundred thousand Election Day votes.

That could be 85-90% of registered voters there and almost 80% of the VEP.

CO could give MN a run for the turnout money this year.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

With another 12k in Travis as of 1 Central, Travis County is now 50k over the 2018 484k record! Historically, over 100k vote in Travis on Election Day as well, so this turnout would be absolutely unprecedented.

[DaleCooper]

What should we expect from Arizona after today?

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/nathanlgonzales/status/1322260865337466882?s=20

[Hammy]

https://twitter.com/thedailybeast/status/1322231456178077698

He needs to get them to the post offices in Miami-Dade.

What's he doing about PA?

[Tintrlvr]

With another 12k in Travis as of 1 Central, Travis County is now 50k over the 2018 484k record! Historically, over 100k vote in Travis on Election Day as well, so this turnout would be absolutely unprecedented.

How many registered voters are there in Travis County? It feels like another 100k on election day would be tough given how many have already voted.

[compucomp]

https://twitter.com/thedailybeast/status/1322231456178077698

He needs to get them to the post offices in Miami-Dade.

What's he doing about PA?

PA's Secretary of State and Governor are Democrats, it's the Republicans who have thousands of lawyers to challenge their decisions. Opposite is true in Florida.