MA-UMass Amherst: Biden +35
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2023, 04:37:36 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  MA-UMass Amherst: Biden +35
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MA-UMass Amherst: Biden +35  (Read 1032 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,172
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 26, 2020, 01:58:40 PM »

64% Biden
29% Trump
  3% Others

https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/GeneralElectionToplines.pdf
Logged
Command of what? There's no one here.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,965


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2020, 02:05:10 PM »

Biden will likely reach Obama 2008 levels across New England.
Logged
Reapsow
Rafe
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,847
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2020, 02:08:21 PM »

Because this is the poll we all want to see.
Logged
Command of what? There's no one here.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,965


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2020, 02:12:59 PM »

Because this is the poll we all want to see.

This unironically. SOUTHIE JOE!
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,492
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2020, 02:14:13 PM »

Biden will likely reach Obama 2008 levels across New England.

I doubt he does quite as well as Obama 2008 in VT and RI, but I guess itís possible. I really donít see him reaching Obama levels in ME, though.
Logged
Command of what? There's no one here.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,965


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2020, 02:16:49 PM »

Biden will likely reach Obama 2008 levels across New England.

I doubt he does quite as well as Obama 2008 in VT and RI, but I guess it’s possible. I really don’t see him reaching Obama levels in ME, though.

How much do you want to bet on whether Biden beats Obama 2008's percentage in at least one of the five non-Massachusetts New England states? (It's pretty clear that he will in Massachusetts if the polls are even close to accurate.) I'm not particularly invested in this specific question so let's keep it low-stakes--how about an avatar change for one week?
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,337


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2020, 02:18:56 PM »

October 14-21
713 likely voters
MoE: 4.5% for 725 registered voters

Not sure 3%
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,878
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2020, 02:21:53 PM »

Because this is the poll we all want to see.

UMass-Amherst does, which is all that matters.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,492
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2020, 02:22:26 PM »

Biden will likely reach Obama 2008 levels across New England.

I doubt he does quite as well as Obama 2008 in VT and RI, but I guess itís possible. I really donít see him reaching Obama levels in ME, though.

How much do you want to bet that Biden beats Obama 2008's percentage in at least one of the five non-Massachusetts New England states? (It's pretty clear that he will in Massachusetts if the polls are even close to accurate.) I'm not particularly invested in this specific question so let's keep it low-stakes--how about an avatar change for one week?

Now, now, I didnít say Iíd be surprised if Biden got close to/matched Obama in 2008 in CT and NH. Tongue

Iím not invested in it either, so avatar change for one week if Biden does better than Obama 2008 in one of VT/ME/RI (without CT/NH)?
Logged
Command of what? There's no one here.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,965


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2020, 02:22:47 PM »

Biden will likely reach Obama 2008 levels across New England.

I doubt he does quite as well as Obama 2008 in VT and RI, but I guess itís possible. I really donít see him reaching Obama levels in ME, though.

How much do you want to bet that Biden beats Obama 2008's percentage in at least one of the five non-Massachusetts New England states? (It's pretty clear that he will in Massachusetts if the polls are even close to accurate.) I'm not particularly invested in this specific question so let's keep it low-stakes--how about an avatar change for one week?

Now, now, I didnít say Iíd be surprised if Biden got close to/matched Obama in 2008 in CT and NH. Tongue

Iím not invested in it either, so avatar change for one week if Biden does better than Obama 2008 in one of VT/ME/RI (without CT/NH)?

Deal.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,492
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2020, 02:24:47 PM »


Deal. Please message/remind me after the election because I tend to forget these things, especially when I end up on the losing side. Wink
Logged
RBH
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,210


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2020, 02:24:56 PM »

Because this is the poll we all want to see.

Poll Rhode Island, you cowards
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,337


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2020, 02:29:48 PM »


This is SurveyMonkey and PureSpectrum erasure.
Logged
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,800
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2020, 02:54:05 PM »

Don't expect much polling error here. This is probably going to be one of the more accurate states, and this poll seems totally within reason.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,943
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2020, 04:08:07 PM »

If Biden truly does receive 64% here, he will have garnered the highest percentage of any Democrat in Massachusetts since Lyndon B. Johnson's 76% sweep here in 1964. Not even John Kerry in 2004 or Barack Obama in 2008 managed to reach that figure here.
Logged
forsythvoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 736


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2020, 07:03:52 PM »

Not surprised by these numbers given it is MA, but the margin probably means Biden is doing well in the New Hampshire suburbs of Boston as well.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,835


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2020, 07:22:28 PM »


Worcester Joe.
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,607
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2020, 11:57:02 AM »

New Poll: Massachusetts President by UMass Poll on 2020-10-21

Summary: D: 64%, R: 29%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,766
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2020, 03:23:05 AM »

Biden will likely reach Obama 2008 levels across New England.

I doubt he does quite as well as Obama 2008 in VT and RI, but I guess itís possible. I really donít see him reaching Obama levels in ME, though.

How much do you want to bet that Biden beats Obama 2008's percentage in at least one of the five non-Massachusetts New England states? (It's pretty clear that he will in Massachusetts if the polls are even close to accurate.) I'm not particularly invested in this specific question so let's keep it low-stakes--how about an avatar change for one week?

Now, now, I didnít say Iíd be surprised if Biden got close to/matched Obama in 2008 in CT and NH. Tongue

Iím not invested in it either, so avatar change for one week if Biden does better than Obama 2008 in one of VT/ME/RI (without CT/NH)?

Deal.

MT Treasurer won. Biden won ME by 10 points (Obama +17), RI by 20 points (Obama +28), and VT by 33 points (Obama +37).
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,337


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2020, 04:45:52 AM »

Biden will likely reach Obama 2008 levels across New England.

I doubt he does quite as well as Obama 2008 in VT and RI, but I guess itís possible. I really donít see him reaching Obama levels in ME, though.

How much do you want to bet that Biden beats Obama 2008's percentage in at least one of the five non-Massachusetts New England states? (It's pretty clear that he will in Massachusetts if the polls are even close to accurate.) I'm not particularly invested in this specific question so let's keep it low-stakes--how about an avatar change for one week?

Now, now, I didnít say Iíd be surprised if Biden got close to/matched Obama in 2008 in CT and NH. Tongue

Iím not invested in it either, so avatar change for one week if Biden does better than Obama 2008 in one of VT/ME/RI (without CT/NH)?

Deal.

MT Treasurer won. Biden won ME by 10 points (Obama +17), RI by 20 points (Obama +28), and VT by 33 points (Obama +37).


Yes, but in the context of a much smaller PV victory than most of us expected. I think most of us underestimated just how hard most of New England would snap back this time and am a lot less sure Maine will be one of the Republican party's easier targets next time.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.055 seconds with 12 queries.