NYT/Siena - TX: Trump +4 (user search)
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  NYT/Siena - TX: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NYT/Siena - TX: Trump +4  (Read 5172 times)
ExSky
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Posts: 543


« on: October 26, 2020, 12:02:30 PM »

About expected but cmon man! How do you have 10% undecided WITH A WEEK LEFT Nate.

Also looks like these guys are also falling into the under polling of Latinos. It’s simply not going to be that weak for Joe. Clinton was +27 and Beto was +29. It’s the same reason NYT had Cruz +8 in October compared to the final result of +2.5.
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ExSky
Jr. Member
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Posts: 543


« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2020, 12:07:39 PM »

In b4 Wbrocks call it’s trash due to Hispanics

Nate himself says it could be inaccurate due to missing Hispanics in the article lol.
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ExSky
Jr. Member
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Posts: 543


« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2020, 12:08:47 PM »

Biden 57% among Hispanics and 78% among black voters.

Lyin' Loser Nate at at again!

At some point Nate has to start adjusting his Methods with numbers that simply will not be true.
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ExSky
Jr. Member
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Posts: 543


« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2020, 12:44:37 PM »

Why are we all trashing an A+ pollster just because we don’t like the result?

NYT isn’t even close to A+ for Texas LOL. They’re great in the swing states that have been swing states for decades. They were hilariously wrong in Texas in 2018.
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ExSky
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Posts: 543


« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2020, 12:47:11 PM »
« Edited: October 26, 2020, 12:51:23 PM by ExSky »

Lean R > Lean R, though it seems like NYT/Siena has somewhat of a Republican bias this cycle.

NYT does seem like they’re the big name that got scared out of their mind by 2016 and severely overcompensated. The ridiculous number of undecideds from in every single poll is inexcusable. Cohn is hedging his bets
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ExSky
Jr. Member
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Posts: 543


« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2020, 01:21:59 PM »

LOL come on guys stop whining about the poll. This is an A+ pollster. Maybe they are wrong, maybe they are underpolling certain groups, maybe not, the point is that the poll is not inherently bad as some of you are implying or outright stating. Some of you sound like Trump supporters here that throw a fit when they see numbers they don't like.

Why are we all trashing an A+ pollster just because we don’t like the result?

They are showing the same issues they had in 2018 in accurately reaching minority voters.

I mean they are showing Biden +24 among Hispanics, the exit polls had Beto +29, that is well within the margin of error of a smaller subsample. Maybe they still have systemic issues polling these voters like in 2018 or maybe they have made changes to correct that like other polling firms did to correct the systemic issues they had in 2016.

When some of these polls consistently show the exact same issue election after election and refuse to do anything about it, it becomes extremely frustrating. The undecideds here a week out are absolutely obscene. And the Hispanic underpolling in Texas has been going for far longer than it should be. This has been going on for 10 years now and nothing has been changed to compensate for it while
Cohn tucked his tail under his legs and decided that not pushing undecideds was the answer because Hillary lost due to a minor fluctuation of about 75k votes combined in 3 states
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