TX - University of Houston/YouGov: Trump +5

[Person Man]

Slightly reassuring.  Sad as hell I need to be reassured about Texas a week before the election though.

How is this reassuring? Trump won Texas by 9% in 2016. A Republican presidential candidate should be leading by double digits in Texas - much less the incumbent Republican POTUS.

Because Texas is a state that is changing obviously.  His polling has been bad here, so this is good to see.  UoH also only had Trump up 3 in TX in 2016, but there was hella undecided in that poll.

My expectation is between Biden +2 and Trump +5. My guess is something like Trump 50 Biden 48.

[Person Man]

This is depressing. It's all going to come down to PA I guess.

Or maybe Minnesota.

If that happened, I think that would be a way for Republicans to solve their problems for good. Luckily, it isn't happening.

[Person Man]

This isn’t new but I love that when a poll of Texas/Ohio/Iowa/GA comes out and its like Trump +4 or 5, people act like the state is safe Trump. But a Biden +4 or +5 is tilt or slightly lean Biden

If you believe in shy Trump voters it's logical to view things that way.

Except the whole basis for shy Trump supporters is pretty illogical.

Exactly. Just by driving around, you would think Trump is up 9, not down by 9.