University of Wisconsin/YouGov: MI - Biden +10 | PA - Biden +8 | WI - Biden +9 (user search)
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  University of Wisconsin/YouGov: MI - Biden +10 | PA - Biden +8 | WI - Biden +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: University of Wisconsin/YouGov: MI - Biden +10 | PA - Biden +8 | WI - Biden +9  (Read 3717 times)
n1240
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Posts: 1,207
« on: October 26, 2020, 07:39:45 AM »
Biden will do very well among independent voters who vote before election day and Trump will do better among independents who vote on election day, with Biden doing better overall. Shouldn't be that hard to understand!
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n1240
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Posts: 1,207
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2020, 07:55:11 AM »
Quote from: DINGO Joe on October 26, 2020, 07:45:16 AM
In the PA Republican Prez primary this year, Trump did considerably worse with R mail in voters than ED voters, especially in the Philly burbs, so that number isn't far fetched.

Yeah it's not like Biden would won 50% of registered Republicans voting early, but 15-20% of mail-in voting registered Republicans in PA could feasibly vote for Biden (compared to election day probably only 3-4% would vote Biden). 87-9 is definitely extreme but can be still be attributed to crosstab noise.
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