NC (Trafalgar): Trump + 3 (user search)
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  NC (Trafalgar): Trump + 3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC (Trafalgar): Trump + 3  (Read 1944 times)
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,060
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« on: October 25, 2020, 01:24:24 PM »

In 2016, Trafalgar had Trump+5. It finished Trump+4.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,060
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2020, 02:23:06 PM »

I'm contemplating not using Trafalgar anymore in my model. On the one hand, I don't want to be biased and it's important to include outliers in both directions. On the other hand their polls are just stupid.

On the other hand, their polls were pretty accurate in 2016. Even if they are off by anywhere from 2 to 4 points, they are still better than Quinnipiac polls. Therefore, I recommend you keep them.
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