WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese?

[Real Texan Politics]

Wait what?
https://twitter.com/NickyScatz/status/1574871577291800577?s=20&t=3U-Fmm8nJ-y...

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Wait what?
https://twitter.com/NickyScatz/status/1574871577291800577?s=20&t=3U-Fmm8nJ-y...

Safe R > Likely D

[wbrocks67]

The Marcus Flowers comparison is dumb because people are basing it off of financial reports that are from June, two months before Barnes even won the primary.

And Flowers is definitely just getting unsuspecting resistance $$$ and has been for a while. I've seen his ads pop up constantly on Instagram. People who don't know any better think he legitimately has a chance at beating MTG.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Honestly if the gop did a more extreme crack of Atlanta Suburbs and tried to sink Atlanta to just 3 Dem seats, it may have been theoretically possible to knock Greene out but even though the district takes in a few swingy areas of Cobb it’ll never be enough to outvote the rest of the district.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Marcus Flowers has consistently outraised every other House candidate in Georgia this year, and it might make him lose by 30% instead of 40.  Although (as Adam Griffin, I think, pointed out) it's not a complete waste of money.  If he turns out more Democratic votes than usual in the 14th, it helps in the statewide races.

[Gass3268]

Wait what?
https://twitter.com/NickyScatz/status/1574871577291800577?s=20&t=3U-Fmm8nJ-y...

Donors, like voters, are not rational.

[wbrocks67]

Tossup remains tossup

https://twitter.com/SarahLongwell25/status/1575132469745025024

[It’s so Joever]

Tossup remains tossup

https://twitter.com/SarahLongwell25/status/1575132469745025024

I am guessing they also were sure they wouldn’t vote for Trump in 2016?

[Comrade Funk]

Tossup remains tossup

https://twitter.com/SarahLongwell25/status/1575132469745025024

I am guessing they also were sure they wouldn’t vote for Trump in 2016?

As sure as you were when you were stanning Molinaro and Brad Finstad like you were a 14 year old girl at a Kpop concert.

[It’s so Joever]

Tossup remains tossup

https://twitter.com/SarahLongwell25/status/1575132469745025024

I am guessing they also were sure they wouldn’t vote for Trump in 2016?

As sure as you were when you were stanning Molinaro and Brad Finstad like you were a 14 year old girl at a Kpop concert.

This is probably one of the best insults I have received on this platform, well done.

[Comrade Funk]

Tossup remains tossup

https://twitter.com/SarahLongwell25/status/1575132469745025024

I am guessing they also were sure they wouldn’t vote for Trump in 2016?

As sure as you were when you were stanning Molinaro and Brad Finstad like you were a 14 year old girl at a Kpop concert.

This is probably one of the best insults I have received on this platform, well done.

It's not an insult. It's an observation. You were salivating over Brad Finstad.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Play nice.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Tossup remains tossup

https://twitter.com/SarahLongwell25/status/1575132469745025024

Personally I'm not a fan of Longwell for several reasons (even if she may personnally be a good person).

Firstly, I think she overestimates how much voters actually strategically think about the options before them and vote on issues such as democracy and are generally turned off by extremism. "Swing voters" don't necessarily have to be these high education moderates who give thought to every action each candidate takes, infact there are far more swing voters who vote based on fear, anger, and other emotions.

Secondly, she plays the card of "I'm a moderate anti-Trump Republican" even though at this point she literally seems like a mainstream D, whereas someone like Cheney was genuinely a conservative Republican and still is despite her opposition to Trump and the big lie. Furthermore, I think she lets this personal political transition of hers dominate the narrative in how she treats focus groups ans stuff.

[Senator Incitatus]

MJS ran a long piece this morning on Barnes's Twitter account, including his comments that Donald Trump is a "Russian spy" and Steve Scalise was "taking one for the team" in his attempted assassination: https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/investigations/daniel-bice/2022/09/29/mandela-barnes-us-senate-candidate-vs-ron-johnson-2022-election-on-twitter-donald-trump-russian-spy/10440513002/

Expect at least some of this to make its way into another effective Johnson attack ad.

[kwabbit]

Marcus Flowers has consistently outraised every other House candidate in Georgia this year, and it might make him lose by 30% instead of 40.  Although (as Adam Griffin, I think, pointed out) it's not a complete waste of money.  If he turns out more Democratic votes than usual in the 14th, it helps in the statewide races.

Has he ever been pictured without a hat? It’s like Glenn Youngkin always appearing in a fleece. Odd how candidates latch onto a specific type of clothing as central to their image.

[Senator Incitatus]

Marcus Flowers has consistently outraised every other House candidate in Georgia this year, and it might make him lose by 30% instead of 40.  Although (as Adam Griffin, I think, pointed out) it's not a complete waste of money.  If he turns out more Democratic votes than usual in the 14th, it helps in the statewide races.

Has he ever been pictured without a hat? It’s like Glenn Youngkin always appearing in a fleece. Odd how candidates latch onto a specific type of clothing as central to their image.

It's a central theme of "branding" and has been a thing forever (e.g., Lincoln's stove-pipe hat). If anything, it's waned in the era of television and film (and smartphones), when recognizing celebrities and politicians by their faces, rather than a unique article of clothing, has become more common.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Marcus Flowers has consistently outraised every other House candidate in Georgia this year, and it might make him lose by 30% instead of 40.  Although (as Adam Griffin, I think, pointed out) it's not a complete waste of money.  If he turns out more Democratic votes than usual in the 14th, it helps in the statewide races.

Has he ever been pictured without a hat? It’s like Glenn Youngkin always appearing in a fleece. Odd how candidates latch onto a specific type of clothing as central to their image.

It's a central theme of "branding" and has been a thing forever (e.g., Lincoln's stove-pipe hat). If anything, it's waned in the era of television and film (and smartphones), when recognizing celebrities and politicians by their faces, rather than a unique article of clothing, has become more common.

Betsy and the oversized glasses is great

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

Personally, if polls had shown that I possibly had a shot at taking down an unpopular incumbent senator, I would simply have campaigned against him.

[SnowLabrador]

Either this race was never as competitive as public polling has shown, or Democrats are blowing it. They haven't been spending at all to counteract Johnson's massive ad blitz. What a joke of a party!

[wbrocks67]

Either this race was never as competitive as public polling has shown, or Democrats are blowing it. They haven't been spending at all to counteract Johnson's massive ad blitz. What a joke of a party!

This I will agree with. Barnes had a late start so unfortunately the primary screwed him, but Democrats should've been ready. The GOP has over $10M+ spending advantage on Dems in outside spending.

This is less about Barnes failing but moreso that Dems are getting outspent.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Either this race was never as competitive as public polling has shown, or Democrats are blowing it. They haven't been spending at all to counteract Johnson's massive ad blitz. What a joke of a party!

Lol, the Hurricane IAN coverage has blanketed the air Waves l, stop Dooming on Barnes it's only 4 pts and Pat Ryan came back from 8 pts with Early voting we haven't voted yet

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Either this race was never as competitive as public polling has shown, or Democrats are blowing it. They haven't been spending at all to counteract Johnson's massive ad blitz. What a joke of a party!

This I will agree with. Barnes had a late start so unfortunately the primary screwed him, but Democrats should've been ready. The GOP has over $10M+ spending advantage on Dems in outside spending.

This is less about Barnes failing but moreso that Dems are getting outspent.

Hurricane IAN has clearly knocked the Trump corruption off the airwaves that was benefiting D's, especially Espionage that's partly the cause of reversed poll numbers but PPP just polled this race it's tied, he SL is just being a DOOMER he said Gary Peters and Whitmer and Warnock we're going to loose

[Real Texan Politics]

MJS ran a long piece this morning on Barnes's Twitter account, including his comments that Donald Trump is a "Russian spy" and Steve Scalise was "taking one for the team" in his attempted assassination: https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/investigations/daniel-bice/2022/09/29/mandela-barnes-us-senate-candidate-vs-ron-johnson-2022-election-on-twitter-donald-trump-russian-spy/10440513002/

Expect at least some of this to make its way into another effective Johnson attack ad.

I’m just gonna say this right now, and this should’ve been obvious from the start.

This race is over.

[Senator Incitatus]

MJS ran a long piece this morning on Barnes's Twitter account, including his comments that Donald Trump is a "Russian spy" and Steve Scalise was "taking one for the team" in his attempted assassination: https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/investigations/daniel-bice/2022/09/29/mandela-barnes-us-senate-candidate-vs-ron-johnson-2022-election-on-twitter-donald-trump-russian-spy/10440513002/

Expect at least some of this to make its way into another effective Johnson attack ad.

I’m just gonna say this right now, and this should’ve been obvious from the start.

This race is over.

Johnson is going absolutely medieval (or 1988, at minimum) on Barnes on television. Here's the latest:

https://twitter.com/TomCottonAR/status/1575868532646367232

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

MJS ran a long piece this morning on Barnes's Twitter account, including his comments that Donald Trump is a "Russian spy" and Steve Scalise was "taking one for the team" in his attempted assassination: https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/investigations/daniel-bice/2022/09/29/mandela-barnes-us-senate-candidate-vs-ron-johnson-2022-election-on-twitter-donald-trump-russian-spy/10440513002/

Expect at least some of this to make its way into another effective Johnson attack ad.

I’m just gonna say this right now, and this should’ve been obvious from the start.

This race is over.

Johnson is going absolutely medieval (or 1988, at minimum) on Barnes on television. Here's the latest:

-snip-

Not sure if Willie Horton campaigns is what you want to define this race, but I'm in IDGAF mode as far as politics is concerned. Hell, I'd probably do the same thing.