WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Mandela Barnes is our best bet here

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R -> Likely R.

Have you learned anything yet about WI, Biden has the same Approvals that he had on Election night, WI has voted for every D Prez and voted for Carter and Dukakis, Gore and Kerry loosing party candidates and Biden won the state 3x, Hillary should of won it but Gary Johnson took enough support to give trio of states to Biden, LOL ITS A 304 BLUE WALL


SENS RUSS FEINGOLD, HERB KOHL, TAMMY BALDWIN, THE STATE ONLY Voted for Johnson 350 K votes, Lean D TO

D Govs Him Doyle 2003/2011 Gov T Evers 2019 to Present, Gov Evers vetoed Voter Suppression laws

Didn't you say Whitmer and Ossoff and Warnock were gonna lose like your pal Milineienial Moderate

You said Gary Peters was gonna lose too


Milineienial Moderate is friends with Progressive Moderate that has an R hack map that have CCM losing, NOT

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Don't listen to Snowlabrador he said Gary Peters, Whitmer, Warnock and Ossoff were all gonna to lose

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R -> Lean R. I highly doubt there are hoards of Any Republican but Johnson > Any Democrat > Johnson voters, or vice versa. Wisconsin isn’t exactly a state where being perceived as a centrist makes you more “electable”, nor does being perceived as far left/right function as a vice.

No it's not, if you really think D's can't make up 359 K votes that Johnson won and Baldwin won by a landslide you are kidding yourself, Russ Feingold almost won

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nate Silver has downgraded D's chances in OH, FL, IA and NC since the Afghanistan takeover not the Blue Wall states, due to Red Wall states has US Military bases not so much Blue Wall except VA and that's the Navy not Marines like OH has, most alumnis go to Ohio State


Check out 538 maps on You tube all of the now has Par McCrory and Josh Mandel winning but Mandela Barnes or Tom Nelson and Lamb or Fetterman winning. It's his voice on You tube 538 maps


WI Lean R rating is always exacerbated every Election cycle part of reason why SN was banned he kept saying WI, PA and MI were Lean R


Just like alot of Discord posters always say that

Even if Gallagher runs Silver says it's a D takeover, Gallagher is overrated

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Probably still Lean Republican, but really depends on candidates. Would actually be nice to have this moron out of the senate.

For some reason, I think there will be quite some ticket splitting between senate and governor.

Nate Silver said it's an RH 220/215 H and D S with D's winning WI and PA 52/48 AZ, MD, MA, NH, Govs

But D's can also have a 220/215H with a 52/48 Senate and get DC Statehood


Depending on Redistricting Nate Silver said

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Do not assume Ron Johnson definitely wants out. Senators often leave saying 'the gridlock/rudeness/etc. has become too much', but few opine that their legacies as failures.

"I'd rather be somewhere else," can very easily lead into a culture war refrain of "I'd rather be somewhere else, but duty calls and Biden wants to vaccinate your children." Indeed, in his interview, he says he admires George Washington because he didn't want to be president, which gives him an opportunity to present himself as some kind of reluctant hero.

For Johnson, being the nutcase he is, it's probably the reverse-the gridlock is why he is staying.

Johnson is done, he isn't winning Reelection, Nate Silver already said it's a 304 map didn't SN say that WI was going R in 2020


The amount of users that think WII  Lean R and pbower2A agrees with me that it's not, it's a 304 map not 268 map and Tammy Baldwin won a Landslide

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Johnson won on Benghazi Hillary that's how he beat Russ Feingold

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think a lot of people are forgetting how Ron Johnson managed to win in 2016 after being abandoned by the GOP nationally & while running against someone who was seen as a top tier recruit for the democrats.

I certainly am not. He is hands down the favorite if he runs again, which I expect he will.

He's definitely going to win if he runs again, but I don't know if he will.

.
You predicted Peters, Warnock and Ossoff to lose and that's the 304 blue wall


Lol Johnson won on Benghazi Hillary, he was head of Hunter Biden probe until Rs lost the Senate

The reason why he is vulnerable he isn't targeting Biden with Hunter like he did as Chairman with BENGHAZI hearings


He only won by 350K votes both times margin of error, he didn't win by 20 like Portman or Young beat Strickland and Bayh

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Really,arch poll had Evers and Nelson leading 48/44 the star voted F for ever Prez and he he only won by 300K, most Ds on Atlas including Pittsburgh has D's winning this race and it's part of blue wall


Jim Jordan and Ron Johnson have been an Insurrectionists

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes is a really mediocre looking candidate, he'll appeal to the high dollar donors in NYC but I have real doubts he has a good shot in the general election.

Barnes isn't an automatic Insurrectionist, Johnson is in the same position as Collins he protected the Proud Boyz

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Johnson is too polarizing to run for Gov don't Rs know what he said praising Proud Boys he praised them, Evers would run all over him

It's hypocritical that Conservates have always maintained Johnson can get reelected and Evers can't and they are elderly

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news Sen Barnes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes got elected as LT Gov, we haven't seen any polls since March

Johnson praised the Proud Boys thats extreme

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes got elected as LT Gov, we haven't seen any polls since March[/b]

Johnson praised the Proud Boys thats extreme

That is before the Dems voted in favor of that $3.5 trillion of new spending, before gas prices raised at their highest since 2014, that rising inflation, that drastic rise of consumer price index, Defund the Police.

The moreover that just last month, the gubernatorial administration which Barnes is working for vetoed a bill that would have penalized cities and counties that defund police departments. So Barnes is a puppet of the radical Defund the Police movement.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-vetoes-bill-that-would-have-penalized-cities-counties-that-defund-police-departments/article_30125a78-7312-53d1-9972-9b16e305d008.html

The 3.5 T helps Seniors on Medicare and 1000 vouchers for Dentures, anyways it's going nna be chopped to 2.5 T anyways buts it's not a Detriment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

why is Barnes so un-electable

He's not, there hasn't been any polls since March

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs want Larry Elder but they can't stomach Barnes, we haven't seen any polls but Nelson and Evers were leading

48/44

The only Mav I can stomach Is Michael Steele who will be next Gov if he runs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That endorsement by Warren will just show extreme Barnes is. He will repeatedly tied to Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders and socialist policies.

Everything she touches is a problem, from her DNA to endorsements like Maya Wiley. Dems should pick a better candidate here and Lamb in PA. Have the DSCC endorse Beasley in NC who is better positioned to take advantage of demographics.

Beasley sucks, she supports the filibuster.

The Filibuster is gonna remain, if D's retain the Trifecta but not for Constitutional issues Debt Ceiling, Budget items and VR, and Statehood, every state was a territory before it was a state, slave and free

Filibuster can be used on other things, like Crt packing, Feinstein is against Crt packing

Making Beasley statement moot

Ryan, Tester, Feinstein, Casey Pro life, Warner, Bennett says no to Crt packing already, but Statehood okay

You can't default on debt, Govt can't be in shutdown mode longer than a week

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes and Baldwin LGBT issues whom was more liberal than Barnes won by 10 pts

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cook has this race a Tossup and our Gov race as Lean D in WI, Sabato has it Lean R

If Biden is near 50/45% Approvals, which he is all his Approvals are 48/48 like he was on Election night, I expect him to duplicate the 278 map as AZ and GA are Tossups

In the Senate

WI/PA pickups

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Indy Rep doesn't realize that Johnson tripped over himself by praising Proud Boys and Mandela Barnes was elected already statewide as LT Gov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Is there any word on Ron Johnson running or not?

He is taking so long decide that maybe we'll get lucky and he'll miss the filing deadline. I would rather this be an open race for the sake of Democratic chances to pick this seat up.

my
You really don't see Johnson losing, let me remind he only won by 3% last time in 2016 and won in 2010 by 3% he isn't Rob Portman that won by 20% but all your maps you have WI Lean R and Baldwin won by a Landslide

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, Barnes is a progressive, but that's not why he's going to lose.

Barnes is not losing we are gonna win WI and PA they have Gov abd Sen races the reason why Ds are in trouble in MI and ME and OH because of Craig, Ayotte and LePage Rs have no bench in WI, GA and PA or in OH Senate due to Josh Mandel

You think D's are gonna lose we won 80M votes compared to 74M and you said Gary Peters and WARNOCK and Ossoff were gonna lose, they didn't

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes is a Bernie Socialist
https://mobile.twitter.com/TheOtherMandela/status/1247995868898344960

Mandela Barnes is gonna win, what poll has Johnson, Hershel Walker, Parnell and Josh Mandel substantially ahead even Rubio is only up bye four, they're all within margin of error and campaign begins in Aug 2022 don't listen to Snowlabrador he said Gary Peters was gonna lose, that did not happen

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

WI is not Safe R