WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese?

[lfromnj]

I could honestly see Johnson winning by double digits.

Not going to happen in a state with a fairly solid Democratic floor. Best case scenario would be a slightly larger win than his 2010 performance, though that's simply because I see a fairly small range of possibilities here (anything outside of a 3-6 point win for Johnson would be pretty surprising.)

What exactly is that floor ? Scott walker won by 6 to 7 in his 3 wins albeit with crushing margins from WOW.  Is it really that hard to see Wisconsin rurals say vote like Michigan rurals if Barnes fizzles out and the race becomes semi uncontested ?

[Xing]

I could honestly see Johnson winning by double digits.

Not going to happen in a state with a fairly solid Democratic floor. Best case scenario would be a slightly larger win than his 2010 performance, though that's simply because I see a fairly small range of possibilities here (anything outside of a 3-6 point win for Johnson would be pretty surprising.)

What exactly is that floor ? Scott walker won by 6 to 7 in his 3 wins albeit with crushing margins from WOW.  Is it really that hard to see Wisconsin rurals say vote like Michigan rurals if Barnes fizzles out?

I fully expect Johnson to improve throughout rural Wisconsin, but he's definitely going to face some drop-off from his 2016 numbers in WOW, and will probably do a bit worse in Dane/Milwaukee as well. Unless turnout is anemic in both Madison and Milwaukee, it's hard to envision a double digit win.

[lfromnj]

I could honestly see Johnson winning by double digits.

Not going to happen in a state with a fairly solid Democratic floor. Best case scenario would be a slightly larger win than his 2010 performance, though that's simply because I see a fairly small range of possibilities here (anything outside of a 3-6 point win for Johnson would be pretty surprising.)

What exactly is that floor ? Scott walker won by 6 to 7 in his 3 wins albeit with crushing margins from WOW.  Is it really that hard to see Wisconsin rurals say vote like Michigan rurals if Barnes fizzles out?

I fully expect Johnson to improve throughout rural Wisconsin, but he's definitely going to face some drop-off from his 2016 numbers in WOW, and will probably do a bit worse in Dane/Milwaukee as well. Unless turnout is anemic in both Madison and Milwaukee, it's hard to envision a double digit win.

Feingold actually did pretty decent in Dane, I bet he keeps his Dane margin from 2016. Outer Dane county doesn't have a great Dem floor. I'm not saying he wins by double but Its a pretty realistic outcome .

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I could honestly see Johnson winning by double digits.

Not going to happen in a state with a fairly solid Democratic floor. Best case scenario would be a slightly larger win than his 2010 performance, though that's simply because I see a fairly small range of possibilities here (anything outside of a 3-6 point win for Johnson would be pretty surprising.)

What exactly is that floor ? Scott walker won by 6 to 7 in his 3 wins albeit with crushing margins from WOW.  Is it really that hard to see Wisconsin rurals say vote like Michigan rurals if Barnes fizzles out?

I fully expect Johnson to improve throughout rural Wisconsin, but he's definitely going to face some drop-off from his 2016 numbers in WOW, and will probably do a bit worse in Dane/Milwaukee as well. Unless turnout is anemic in both Madison and Milwaukee, it's hard to envision a double digit win.

As I told you many times Johnson didn't win by 2M votes he won by 350K and he only beaten Feingold because Walker was popular , Johnson's by himself the lone R left he will. Lose, he praised insurrection

[Drew]

I just saw an anti-Johnson ad during halftime of the SF-DAL game.  It was on Madison TV, not sure if it was the whole state or just here.  It was from a Dem-aligned PAC and talking points painted him as a member of the Washington Swamp, he broke his term-limit promise, and pushed for a tax loophole as his net worth skyrocketed while in office.

[Klobmentum Mutilated Herself]

I just saw an anti-Johnson ad during halftime of the SF-DAL game.  It was on Madison TV, not sure if it was the whole state or just here.  It was from a Dem-aligned PAC and talking points painted him as a member of the Washington Swamp, he broke his term-limit promise, and pushed for a tax loophole as his net worth skyrocketed while in office.

The term limit attack will not convince anyone. We've known since forever that tax cuts for the rich don't trickle down; conservative voters do not care. Republicans think the billionaire real estate mogul is anti-estahblishment, and they've already been buying RoJo's outsider narrative for a decade. It's not going to work.

[SnowLabrador]

I just saw an anti-Johnson ad during halftime of the SF-DAL game.  It was on Madison TV, not sure if it was the whole state or just here.  It was from a Dem-aligned PAC and talking points painted him as a member of the Washington Swamp, he broke his term-limit promise, and pushed for a tax loophole as his net worth skyrocketed while in office.

The term limit attack will not convince anyone. We've known since forever that tax cuts for the rich don't trickle down; conservative voters do not care Republicans think the billionaire real estate mogul is anti-estahblishment, and they've already been buying RoJo's outsider narrative for a decade. It's not going to work.

This. They need to attack him on his extremism.

[Klobmentum Mutilated Herself]

This. They need to attack him on his extremism.

I'm not certain that will work either. Republicans think Brandon, the guy who spent an entire Senate career shilling for DuPont and credit card companies, is a communist who must Go. They'll come up with whatever justification to keep voting for a Republican Party that keeps moving further and further to the right.

The Dems have no infrastructure at the state and local levels. They have no organization. They wasted Clinton's trifecta, Obama's supermajority trifecta (with a majority if governorships, which everyone forgets), and they're wasting Biden's trifecta in such a way that makes Obama from 09-10 look productive. They couldn't flip one statehouse in 2020 and took a big victory lap anyway with their Senate "Majority" and a president who barely beat a guy who admitted on tape that he purposefully ignored COVID. They have a major disconnect with their base. Until they completely clean house and start building a real party like the Republicans did in the 60s when they were in the wilderness, their only hope in Wisconsin is to increase voter turnout in Milwaukee/Madison and hope for the best.

[SnowLabrador]

This. They need to attack him on his extremism.

I'm not certain that will work either.

I don't think anything will work in a red wave, which 2022 will be.

[Suburbia]

Johnson probably wins by 1-4 points this time....

If Barnes is his opponent, he probably runs "dog whistles" and he runs the Darnell Brooks case on him....if it is Lasry, he runs the rich liberal billionaire card....

Wisconsin is a battleground state.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Johnson probably wins by 1-4 points this time....

If Barnes is his opponent, he probably runs "dog whistles" and he runs the Darnell Brooks case on him....if it is Lasry, he runs the rich liberal billionaire card....

Wisconsin is a battleground state.

Stop with this John's son is gonna win, he won by a small amount of points last time and this state was won by Joe Biden in 2020


Barnes is just as liberal as Baldwin and WARNOCK and they both won

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cook rates this a tossup and it remains a tossup until we a poll

[UWS]

Barnes is more than liberal, he is a radical left-wing socialist out of step with Wisconsin. He supports socialized medicine, which means the government in charge of health care and doctors. In every place that happens, you have waiting lists and rationing. In the United Kingdom, if a senior needs a HIP replacement, it takes 90 days. In Canada, it takes 200 days. The cost of socialized medicine that Barnes supports would be immense as the Urban Institute, a left leaning institute, scored it as costing $32 trillion in 10 years, $2.5 trillion in the first year. The total we raise from our income taxes is $1.5 trillion so Barnes' plan would require tripling taxes. Even if he believes he can do it with five points on the corporate rate, that doesn't even pass elementary schools math. Even if he believes that could be done by taxing the rich, if you took every person in America $1 million or more and took 100 % of their income, it would pay for 5 months of Barnes' socialized medicine plan. Under that plan, Barnes wants to put everyone who hasn't paid into Medicare on Medicare and that would bankrupt Medicare, would hurt seniors who paid into Medicare for their whole life and rely on it for their health care. And putting 200 million people on it, including illegal immigrants, could bankrupt Medicare.

Barnes voted against authorizing work-share programs, against amending Wisconsin's iron-ore mining regulations and against reducing state income taxes.

Barnes is weak on crime and law enforcement, in fact, the gubernatorial administration which Barnes is working for vetoed a bill that would have penalized cities and counties that defund police departments.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-vetoes-bill-that-would-have-penalized-cities-counties-that-defund-police-departments/article_30125a78-7312-53d1-9972-9b16e305d008.html

Barnes also introduced legislation to eliminate “monetary bail as a condition of release for a defendant charged with” a crime, no matter the severity of the crime. Yes, you read that correctly – a proposal to eliminate prosecutors’ ability to keep dangerous people in custody. This bill died in committee but came after current Milwaukee County District Attorney John Chisholm supported similar views in his inaugural campaign. Those views came back to light last month after Chisholm set what he later called an “inappropriately low” bail amount ($1,000) in the case of Darrell Brooks, who allegedly killed six people in a Waukesha, WI Christmas parade rampage just weeks after a domestic violence arrest. If the Barnes bill passed in 2016, Brooks, along with many other criminals, would have been freely walking the streets of Wisconsin for the past 5 years.

https://docs.legis.wisconsin.gov/2015/related/proposals/ab981

And he also held a fundraiser with Robert Creamer, a felon who pleaded guilty to bank fraud in 2005 and was sentenced to five months in prison. More recently, Creamer and others tied to Democracy Partners got caught on camera in 2016 talking about inciting violence at Trump events. It got so out of hand that they had to take a step back from helping Hillary Clinton’s campaign.

https://www.nrsc.org/press-releases/barnes-gang-of-radicals-and-a-felon-host-fundraiser-2021-11-16/

Unsurprising that Barnes is a puppet of the radical Defund the Police movement and is endorsed by movements advocating the abolition of ICE.

So you can put all the lipstick you want on a pig but it is still a pig.

[Sir Mohamed]

Johnson probably wins by 1-4 points this time....

If Barnes is his opponent, he probably runs "dog whistles" and he runs the Darnell Brooks case on him....if it is Lasry, he runs the rich liberal billionaire card....

Wisconsin is a battleground state.

Stop with this John's son is gonna win, he won by a small amount of points last time and this state was won by Joe Biden in 2020


Barnes is just as liberal as Baldwin and WARNOCK and they both won

What has Warnock to do with this? And Baldwin is an incumbent who ran against a weak opponent in a Blue Wave environment or, in 2012, when Obama was on ballot. Race is Lean R at least.

[wbrocks67]

Barnes is more than liberal, he is a radical left-wing socialist out of step with Wisconsin. He supports socialized medicine, which means the government in charge of health care and doctors. In every place that happens, you have waiting lists and rationing. In the United Kingdom, if a senior needs a HIP replacement, it takes 90 days. In Canada, it takes 200 days. The cost of socialized medicine that Barnes supports would be immense as the Urban Institute, a left leaning institute, scored it as costing $32 trillion in 10 years, $2.5 trillion in the first year. The total we raise from our income taxes is $1.5 trillion so Barnes' plan would require tripling taxes. Even if he believes he can do it with five points on the corporate rate, that doesn't even pass elementary schools math. Even if he believes that could be done by taxing the rich, if you took every person in America $1 million or more and took 100 % of their income, it would pay for 5 months of Barnes' socialized medicine plan. Under that plan, Barnes wants to put everyone who hasn't paid into Medicare on Medicare and that would bankrupt Medicare, would hurt seniors who paid into Medicare for their whole life and rely on it for their health care. And putting 200 million people on it, including illegal immigrants, could bankrupt Medicare.

Barnes voted against authorizing work-share programs, against amending Wisconsin's iron-ore mining regulations and against reducing state income taxes.

Barnes is weak on crime and law enforcement, in fact, the gubernatorial administration which Barnes is working for vetoed a bill that would have penalized cities and counties that defund police departments.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-vetoes-bill-that-would-have-penalized-cities-counties-that-defund-police-departments/article_30125a78-7312-53d1-9972-9b16e305d008.html

Barnes also introduced legislation to eliminate “monetary bail as a condition of release for a defendant charged with” a crime, no matter the severity of the crime. Yes, you read that correctly – a proposal to eliminate prosecutors’ ability to keep dangerous people in custody. This bill died in committee but came after current Milwaukee County District Attorney John Chisholm supported similar views in his inaugural campaign. Those views came back to light last month after Chisholm set what he later called an “inappropriately low” bail amount ($1,000) in the case of Darrell Brooks, who allegedly killed six people in a Waukesha, WI Christmas parade rampage just weeks after a domestic violence arrest. If the Barnes bill passed in 2016, Brooks, along with many other criminals, would have been freely walking the streets of Wisconsin for the past 5 years.

https://docs.legis.wisconsin.gov/2015/related/proposals/ab981

And he also held a fundraiser with Robert Creamer, a felon who pleaded guilty to bank fraud in 2005 and was sentenced to five months in prison. More recently, Creamer and others tied to Democracy Partners got caught on camera in 2016 talking about inciting violence at Trump events. It got so out of hand that they had to take a step back from helping Hillary Clinton’s campaign.

https://www.nrsc.org/press-releases/barnes-gang-of-radicals-and-a-felon-host-fundraiser-2021-11-16/

Unsurprising that Barnes is a puppet of the radical Defund the Police movement and is endorsed by movements advocating the abolition of ICE.

So you can put all the lipstick you want on a pig but it is still a pig.

The idea that somehow Barnes is "out of step" with Wisconsin but Ron Johnson is not is...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes is more than liberal, he is a radical left-wing socialist out of step with Wisconsin. He supports socialized medicine, which means the government in charge of health care and doctors. In every place that happens, you have waiting lists and rationing. In the United Kingdom, if a senior needs a HIP replacement, it takes 90 days. In Canada, it takes 200 days. The cost of socialized medicine that Barnes supports would be immense as the Urban Institute, a left leaning institute, scored it as costing $32 trillion in 10 years, $2.5 trillion in the first year. The total we raise from our income taxes is $1.5 trillion so Barnes' plan would require tripling taxes. Even if he believes he can do it with five points on the corporate rate, that doesn't even pass elementary schools math. Even if he believes that could be done by taxing the rich, if you took every person in America $1 million or more and took 100 % of their income, it would pay for 5 months of Barnes' socialized medicine plan. Under that plan, Barnes wants to put everyone who hasn't paid into Medicare on Medicare and that would bankrupt Medicare, would hurt seniors who paid into Medicare for their whole life and rely on it for their health care. And putting 200 million people on it, including illegal immigrants, could bankrupt Medicare.

Barnes voted against authorizing work-share programs, against amending Wisconsin's iron-ore mining regulations and against reducing state income taxes.

Barnes is weak on crime and law enforcement, in fact, the gubernatorial administration which Barnes is working for vetoed a bill that would have penalized cities and counties that defund police departments.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-vetoes-bill-that-would-have-penalized-cities-counties-that-defund-police-departments/article_30125a78-7312-53d1-9972-9b16e305d008.html

Barnes also introduced legislation to eliminate “monetary bail as a condition of release for a defendant charged with” a crime, no matter the severity of the crime. Yes, you read that correctly – a proposal to eliminate prosecutors’ ability to keep dangerous people in custody. This bill died in committee but came after current Milwaukee County District Attorney John Chisholm supported similar views in his inaugural campaign. Those views came back to light last month after Chisholm set what he later called an “inappropriately low” bail amount ($1,000) in the case of Darrell Brooks, who allegedly killed six people in a Waukesha, WI Christmas parade rampage just weeks after a domestic violence arrest. If the Barnes bill passed in 2016, Brooks, along with many other criminals, would have been freely walking the streets of Wisconsin for the past 5 years.

https://docs.legis.wisconsin.gov/2015/related/proposals/ab981

And he also held a fundraiser with Robert Creamer, a felon who pleaded guilty to bank fraud in 2005 and was sentenced to five months in prison. More recently, Creamer and others tied to Democracy Partners got caught on camera in 2016 talking about inciting violence at Trump events. It got so out of hand that they had to take a step back from helping Hillary Clinton’s campaign.

https://www.nrsc.org/press-releases/barnes-gang-of-radicals-and-a-felon-host-fundraiser-2021-11-16/

Unsurprising that Barnes is a puppet of the radical Defund the Police movement and is endorsed by movements advocating the abolition of ICE.

So you can put all the lipstick you want on a pig but it is still a pig.

The idea that somehow Barnes is "out of step" with Wisconsin but Ron Johnson is not is...

This is smoke screen by RS because first of all they call Evers old and Biden old and Johnson and Trump are like the same age as Biden and Evers and then they don't want to talk about how Johnson praised insurrection

I get so tired of Bronze and MT Treasure say that Johnson is gonna win and Evers is too old especially Bronx abd Johnson is just as elderly looking as Tony Evers

Defunfing the police isn't gonna be a big issue this time no Floyd protests like in 2020

[coloradocowboi]

Barnes is more than liberal, he is a radical left-wing socialist out of step with Wisconsin. He supports socialized medicine, which means the government in charge of health care and doctors. In every place that happens, you have waiting lists and rationing. In the United Kingdom, if a senior needs a HIP replacement, it takes 90 days. In Canada, it takes 200 days. The cost of socialized medicine that Barnes supports would be immense as the Urban Institute, a left leaning institute, scored it as costing $32 trillion in 10 years, $2.5 trillion in the first year. The total we raise from our income taxes is $1.5 trillion so Barnes' plan would require tripling taxes. Even if he believes he can do it with five points on the corporate rate, that doesn't even pass elementary schools math. Even if he believes that could be done by taxing the rich, if you took every person in America $1 million or more and took 100 % of their income, it would pay for 5 months of Barnes' socialized medicine plan. Under that plan, Barnes wants to put everyone who hasn't paid into Medicare on Medicare and that would bankrupt Medicare, would hurt seniors who paid into Medicare for their whole life and rely on it for their health care. And putting 200 million people on it, including illegal immigrants, could bankrupt Medicare.

Barnes voted against authorizing work-share programs, against amending Wisconsin's iron-ore mining regulations and against reducing state income taxes.

Barnes is weak on crime and law enforcement, in fact, the gubernatorial administration which Barnes is working for vetoed a bill that would have penalized cities and counties that defund police departments.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-vetoes-bill-that-would-have-penalized-cities-counties-that-defund-police-departments/article_30125a78-7312-53d1-9972-9b16e305d008.html

Barnes also introduced legislation to eliminate “monetary bail as a condition of release for a defendant charged with” a crime, no matter the severity of the crime. Yes, you read that correctly – a proposal to eliminate prosecutors’ ability to keep dangerous people in custody. This bill died in committee but came after current Milwaukee County District Attorney John Chisholm supported similar views in his inaugural campaign. Those views came back to light last month after Chisholm set what he later called an “inappropriately low” bail amount ($1,000) in the case of Darrell Brooks, who allegedly killed six people in a Waukesha, WI Christmas parade rampage just weeks after a domestic violence arrest. If the Barnes bill passed in 2016, Brooks, along with many other criminals, would have been freely walking the streets of Wisconsin for the past 5 years.

https://docs.legis.wisconsin.gov/2015/related/proposals/ab981

And he also held a fundraiser with Robert Creamer, a felon who pleaded guilty to bank fraud in 2005 and was sentenced to five months in prison. More recently, Creamer and others tied to Democracy Partners got caught on camera in 2016 talking about inciting violence at Trump events. It got so out of hand that they had to take a step back from helping Hillary Clinton’s campaign.

https://www.nrsc.org/press-releases/barnes-gang-of-radicals-and-a-felon-host-fundraiser-2021-11-16/

Unsurprising that Barnes is a puppet of the radical Defund the Police movement and is endorsed by movements advocating the abolition of ICE.

So you can put all the lipstick you want on a pig but it is still a pig.

The idea that somehow Barnes is "out of step" with Wisconsin but Ron Johnson is not is...

Exactly, but here is the key to how Barnes can win. Any time a left of center politician tries to do anything, the GOP calls them a communist radical. But the issues are popular with our voters. I think ultimately the more contentious and polarizing an election is, the more it starts to revert to the mean because turn out is high on both sides. I believe only Barnes can win this race, and to do so he needs to create a turnout operation that finds reasons both positive and Negative to get his key demographics out. Highlight his position, call Johnson a radical, deflect from the culture wars bs that doesn’t matter. Dems can win this race in Dane, Milwaukee, college towns, and suburbs, but they can’t win it chasing after voters who will appear to be “undecided” but are effectively GOP. Why bother contorting your platform to meet the political desires of people who are a 50-50 chance for you to get, at best, when being true to them might gin up your turnout? I never understood. It’s not gonna be a good year for our side, but it will only be 2010/14 bad if we allow turnout to remain low and give the base nothing to vote for

[Xing]

Barnes is more than liberal, he is a radical left-wing socialist out of step with Wisconsin. He supports socialized medicine, which means the government in charge of health care and doctors. In every place that happens, you have waiting lists and rationing. In the United Kingdom, if a senior needs a HIP replacement, it takes 90 days. In Canada, it takes 200 days. The cost of socialized medicine that Barnes supports would be immense as the Urban Institute, a left leaning institute, scored it as costing $32 trillion in 10 years, $2.5 trillion in the first year. The total we raise from our income taxes is $1.5 trillion so Barnes' plan would require tripling taxes. Even if he believes he can do it with five points on the corporate rate, that doesn't even pass elementary schools math. Even if he believes that could be done by taxing the rich, if you took every person in America $1 million or more and took 100 % of their income, it would pay for 5 months of Barnes' socialized medicine plan. Under that plan, Barnes wants to put everyone who hasn't paid into Medicare on Medicare and that would bankrupt Medicare, would hurt seniors who paid into Medicare for their whole life and rely on it for their health care. And putting 200 million people on it, including illegal immigrants, could bankrupt Medicare.

Barnes voted against authorizing work-share programs, against amending Wisconsin's iron-ore mining regulations and against reducing state income taxes.

Barnes is weak on crime and law enforcement, in fact, the gubernatorial administration which Barnes is working for vetoed a bill that would have penalized cities and counties that defund police departments.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-vetoes-bill-that-would-have-penalized-cities-counties-that-defund-police-departments/article_30125a78-7312-53d1-9972-9b16e305d008.html

Barnes also introduced legislation to eliminate “monetary bail as a condition of release for a defendant charged with” a crime, no matter the severity of the crime. Yes, you read that correctly – a proposal to eliminate prosecutors’ ability to keep dangerous people in custody. This bill died in committee but came after current Milwaukee County District Attorney John Chisholm supported similar views in his inaugural campaign. Those views came back to light last month after Chisholm set what he later called an “inappropriately low” bail amount ($1,000) in the case of Darrell Brooks, who allegedly killed six people in a Waukesha, WI Christmas parade rampage just weeks after a domestic violence arrest. If the Barnes bill passed in 2016, Brooks, along with many other criminals, would have been freely walking the streets of Wisconsin for the past 5 years.

https://docs.legis.wisconsin.gov/2015/related/proposals/ab981

And he also held a fundraiser with Robert Creamer, a felon who pleaded guilty to bank fraud in 2005 and was sentenced to five months in prison. More recently, Creamer and others tied to Democracy Partners got caught on camera in 2016 talking about inciting violence at Trump events. It got so out of hand that they had to take a step back from helping Hillary Clinton’s campaign.

https://www.nrsc.org/press-releases/barnes-gang-of-radicals-and-a-felon-host-fundraiser-2021-11-16/

Unsurprising that Barnes is a puppet of the radical Defund the Police movement and is endorsed by movements advocating the abolition of ICE.

So you can put all the lipstick you want on a pig but it is still a pig.

The idea that somehow Barnes is "out of step" with Wisconsin but Ron Johnson is not is...

But you see, it's okay for Republicans to be lightyears to the right of the average voter because something something dangerous radical leftists triggered.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Johnson probably wins by 1-4 points this time....

If Barnes is his opponent, he probably runs "dog whistles" and he runs the Darnell Brooks case on him....if it is Lasry, he runs the rich liberal billionaire card....

Wisconsin is a battleground state.

Stop with this John's son is gonna win, he won by a small amount of points last time and this state was won by Joe Biden in 2020


Barnes is just as liberal as Baldwin and WARNOCK and they both won

What has Warnock to do with this? And Baldwin is an incumbent who ran against a weak opponent in a Blue Wave environment or, in 2012, when Obama was on ballot. Race is Lean R at least.

You know darn well Warnock is Blk and he's the same on every issue as Barnes why are so pro Johnson anyways he won in 2010/16 because Walker was popular, Walker is no longer there in WI  Walker was favored to win in 2018 all the pollsters even had Nate Silver had Walker winning, but Biden won WI in 2020 Johnson isn't Grassley he won by 350 K votes not 2M as I keep telling you Johnson supporters.

[Sub Jero]

https://mobile.twitter.com/TheOtherMandela/status/1511838626077978632?cxt=HHwWkM...

[Minnesota Mike]

New Marquette University Law School poll.

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/

Ron Johnson's favorability ratings are underwater 36-46. Asked if Johnson cared about people like them the Y/N was 39/50. Democrats are equally enthusiastic about voting as Republicans. This is definitely a race to watch. There were no head to head numbers.

[President Johnson]

New Marquette University Law School poll.

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/

Ron Johnson's favorability ratings are underwater 36-46. Asked if Johnson cared about people like them the Y/N was 39/50. Democrats are equally enthusiastic about voting as Republicans. This is definitely a race to watch. There were no head to head numbers.

In this environment, he's unfortunately still going to win by at least four or five points, if not in high single digits.

[Minnesota Mike]

New Marquette University Law School poll.

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/

Ron Johnson's favorability ratings are underwater 36-46. Asked if Johnson cared about people like them the Y/N was 39/50. Democrats are equally enthusiastic about voting as Republicans. This is definitely a race to watch. There were no head to head numbers.

In this environment, he's unfortunately still going to win by at least four or five points, if not in high single digits.

We don't know that. There is more to elections than the national presidential job approval numbers.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Likely R.. move on.

[Politician]

New Marquette University Law School poll.

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/

Ron Johnson's favorability ratings are underwater 36-46. Asked if Johnson cared about people like them the Y/N was 39/50. Democrats are equally enthusiastic about voting as Republicans. This is definitely a race to watch. There were no head to head numbers.

In this environment, he's unfortunately still going to win by at least four or five points, if not in high single digits.

We don't know that. There is more to elections than the national presidential job approval numbers.

You choosing to ignore the evidence we have (election results, historical trends, approval polling, enthusiasm gap for Republicans):