Morning Consult - a bunch of states
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Author Topic: Morning Consult - a bunch of states  (Read 3729 times)
Ben.
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« Reply #25 on: October 22, 2020, 09:29:24 AM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on October 22, 2020, 09:10:00 AM
Quote from: Panda Express on October 22, 2020, 08:26:46 AM
Guys, if a pollster, even a high-quality one, polls a bunch of states at once, there's bound to be an outlier or two. It's basic statistics. In this batch, it happens to be Arizona that got an R-leaning sample (judging from Kelly's small lead). Frankly, if 100% of the states polled "made sense", it would be suspect
Spot on. If every state looks just right, there's probably something fishy going on. A poll that seems "off" here and there is not the sign of a bad pollster, but of a pollster that is actually legit.

This is also why this nonsense about "which pollster got the election right" is nonsense and has zero predictive power as to who "gets it right" the next time.

The tell is that AZ is the only state is this batch where Biden went backwards vs Trump.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #26 on: October 22, 2020, 09:36:53 AM »
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #27 on: October 22, 2020, 06:52:04 PM »
New Poll: Arizona President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #28 on: October 22, 2020, 06:52:51 PM »
New Poll: Colorado President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 55%, R: 39%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #29 on: October 22, 2020, 06:53:28 PM »
New Poll: Florida President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 52%, R: 45%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #30 on: October 22, 2020, 06:54:11 PM »
New Poll: Georgia President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 48%, R: 48%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #31 on: October 22, 2020, 06:54:48 PM »
New Poll: Michigan President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 52%, R: 44%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #32 on: October 22, 2020, 06:55:39 PM »
New Poll: Minnesota President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 51%, R: 42%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #33 on: October 22, 2020, 06:56:16 PM »
New Poll: North Carolina President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 50%, R: 47%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #34 on: October 22, 2020, 06:57:02 PM »
New Poll: Ohio President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #35 on: October 22, 2020, 06:57:50 PM »
New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 52%, R: 43%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #36 on: October 22, 2020, 06:58:31 PM »
New Poll: South Carolina President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 45%, R: 51%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #37 on: October 22, 2020, 06:59:11 PM »
New Poll: Texas President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 48%, R: 47%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #38 on: October 22, 2020, 06:59:53 PM »
New Poll: Wisconsin President by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 54%, R: 42%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #39 on: October 24, 2020, 02:18:44 PM »
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Sestak
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« Reply #40 on: October 24, 2020, 02:19:46 PM »
Biden leads in a Texas likely voter screen. Wow.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #41 on: October 24, 2020, 02:20:28 PM »
I told you people Texas was gonna be close.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #42 on: October 24, 2020, 02:20:50 PM »
I love this song.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #43 on: October 24, 2020, 02:21:50 PM »

Biden is polling better then Beto.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #44 on: October 24, 2020, 02:22:07 PM »
Time to call it: Biden will win Texas.
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Woody
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« Reply #45 on: October 24, 2020, 02:22:20 PM »
Likely R. Trump +5.
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VAR
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« Reply #46 on: October 24, 2020, 02:22:48 PM »
I think this was already posted here: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=406186.0

Mods, please merge.
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Rand
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« Reply #47 on: October 24, 2020, 02:23:48 PM »


L O N E
S T A R
J O E
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exopolitician
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« Reply #48 on: October 24, 2020, 02:24:26 PM »

I'm still a bit disappointed that MJ is performing way worse than Biden. I thought it would have tightened a bit.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #49 on: October 24, 2020, 02:25:05 PM »
This isn't new.
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