Very possible. To Biden friendly in the midwest tho.
Winning the Dakotas while losing Iowa? Only winning Hawaii by 3 points? I think not.
It's probably better data than SurveyMonkey but not by much at the state level, given the small sample sizes.
The Survey Monkey numbers actually seem far more plausible to me. If someone told me their numbers were the final results, or that they were from a higher quality pollster, I would not be surprised at all.
They're plausible in bulk but individual results can be very odd. Their LV results consistently have Biden down by only about 6% in Nebraska. That is shocking and I'd have expected more statewide polling if the sorts of shifts necessary for that to happen were really going on.
Well they’re pretty much the only ones polling Nebraska so hard to say. For what it’s worth, Morning Consult tracker consistently found Trump with a pretty medicore approval rating in Nebraska, something I found interesting. Plus, it’s not really that different from Kansas, and everyone seems to agree that’s swung left.
