MI-DFP: Biden +5 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 05:29:12 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  MI-DFP: Biden +5 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MI-DFP: Biden +5  (Read 1766 times)
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,317
United States


« on: October 21, 2020, 05:57:15 PM »

Stop dismissing results you don't like as trash.

Biden is clearly ahead in MI/WI but not by more than 5%.

I have NO CLUE why this is shocking to people on here.

Biden only being up 5 is clearly an outlier...

Quote this if he wins Michigan by more than 5 (he won't).

You sure sound awfully confident for someone who doesn't know what he's talking about and is at odds with the experts. (FiveThirtyEight projects Biden +8 as the most likely outcome.)

What was 2018 in Michigan VS Polling?

What was 2016?

Pretty consistently we've seen Ds overstated in Michigan.


(Raises hand) Ooh! Pick me , teacher. I know this one.

Michigan averaged polls for governor and senator in 2018 nailed the margins at 10% and 6% respectively.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?fips=26&class=1

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?fips=26

Polls at the end of the 2016 campaign showed Trump only two points behind. He wound up winning the Lion's Share of undecided voters to eke out a less than quarter percent victory.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?fips=26

And in none of those polls averages were Democrats strength overstated. The worst that can be stated is the 2016 polls narrowly failed to detect the last-minute surge of undecided voters towards Trump , but that certainly had to do with the Dynamics of the last couple days of the campaign rather than any structural deficiencies in polling Michigan.

Did I do good?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 10 queries.