KS - PPP/Protect Our Care (D): TIED
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  KS - PPP/Protect Our Care (D): TIED
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Author Topic: KS - PPP/Protect Our Care (D): TIED  (Read 901 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 21, 2020, 12:30:25 PM »

https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Health-Care-Could-Be-Deciding-Factor-in-Close-Kansas-Senate-Race.pdf

October 19-20
897 voters
MoE: 3.3%
Changes with August 5-6 poll for Emily's list (partisan sponsor)

Bollier 43% (+1)
Marshall 43% (n/c)
Buckley (L) 5% (not previously included)
Not sure 9% (-6)

Bollier's favourability numbers aren't good in this poll.
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VAR
VARepublican
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 12:31:24 PM »
« Edited: October 21, 2020, 12:39:51 PM by Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds »

Favorabilities:
Bollier: 39/49 (-10, was +13)
Marshall: 39/45 (-6, was -4)

LMAO
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2020, 12:37:21 PM »

Good Bollier will win
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MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2020, 12:46:41 PM »

This also shows Trump leading by 12 points, so Marshall support polling at the same percentage as Kobach here is really not a good sign for Republicans even if it was conducted for a Democratic interest group and the undecideds appear to be leaning R. Itís a very competitive race.
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SirWoodbury
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2020, 12:53:29 PM »

This also shows Trump leading by 12 points, so Marshall support polling at the same percentage as Kobach here is really not a good sign for Republicans even if it was conducted for a Democratic interest group and the undecideds appear to be leaning R. Itís a very competitive race.
http://wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_United_States_Senate_election_in_Kansas#Polling_3
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2020, 12:59:47 PM »

Why so many undecides? Anyways, this cancels out the poll from earlier today
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Pollster
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2020, 01:13:02 PM »

Crossposting from the Presidential thread:

Fwiw, the subsample in this poll of Democrats seems very right-leaning:

14% of Democrats approve of Trump and are voting for him
Bollier's approval is only 73/18 and she is winning Democrats 83/11

In both public and private polling we are seeing far more unity among Democrats than these numbers suggest (and Kansas is not an ancestral Democrat state). Entirely possible PPP is picking up something that everybody else is missing, but there's little to no evidence of that.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2020, 01:16:40 PM »

Based on what others here have said, this looks like a good poll for Bollier. Kansas is a good Hail Mary if we lose NC and IA.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2020, 01:29:09 PM »

Pretty much in line with a Lean R race. A Democratic win here is possible, but it's probably seat 54 or 55 for them.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2020, 10:29:32 PM »

So two polls now have Bollier at 39% favorable?

Both a D poll and an R poll have Trump up by double digits, the former by 12 and the latter by 17.

Both polls have Bollier in the low 40s for Senate.

Unless I see Bollier tied in the high 40s, I am sticking with my expectation of Marshall by a range of 7 to possibly 12. 

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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2020, 03:01:29 PM »

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 43%, R: 43%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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