GA (NYT/Siena) - Tie (user search)
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  GA (NYT/Siena) - Tie (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA (NYT/Siena) - Tie  (Read 2793 times)
skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09

« on: October 20, 2020, 12:02:47 PM »

Biden: 45%
Trump: 45%
Jorgensen: 2%
Hawkins*: 1%
Someone else/undecided: 7%

Article: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/20/upshot/poll-georgia-biden-trump.html
Crosstabs: https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/ga101320-crosstabs/96723fae2a9846ed/full.pdf

759 likely voters, Oct. 13-19, MoE: +/- 4.1%

* Hawkins is not officially on the ballot in GA, but is a write-in candidate.
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 12:17:21 PM »

It would be more useful if we knew who the undecideds are.

Looking at the crosstabs, there seems to be more undecided African-American voters (9% versus 4% of white voters).

More Democrats (4%) are undecided than Republicans (1%). 10% of independents are undecided.
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