MN (MinnPost/Change Research): Biden +5

[woodley park]

The midwest is going to trend R this election, but Biden is still going to win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. I am not sure how Ohio and Iowa will turn out. Midwesterners seem to love Trump's tough guy persona.

We should be tough guy on them and end their subsidies.

That's a great idea! Let's use national policy to punish states that are trending away from us and still have a lot of electoral votes and competitive House districts! Surely that'll bring those rubes back into the fold!

Seriously, shut up.

I really should have put /s at the end.

I acknowledge you are being sarcastic, but I guarantee Trump will seek to punish these states if they flip on him, and he still ends up winning re-election by the slimmest of margins in the Electoral College.

[wbrocks67]

already 2 pages for a Change poll. Wow.

[It’s so Joever]

The midwest is going to trend R this election, but Biden is still going to win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. I am not sure how Ohio and Iowa will turn out. Midwesterners seem to love Trump's tough guy persona.

We should be tough guy on them and end their subsidies.

That's a great idea! Let's use national policy to punish states that are trending away from us and still have a lot of electoral votes and competitive House districts! Surely that'll bring those rubes back into the fold!

Seriously, shut up.

I really should have put /s at the end.

I acknowledge you are being sarcastic, but I guarantee Trump will seek to punish these states if they flip on him, and he still ends up winning re-election by the slimmest of margins in the Electoral College.

Oh absolutely, of course it’s only bad when a Democrat does it according to our virtuous leftists because something...something...We go high...something.
I don’t think we should do it for a variety of reasons, although I sure wouldn’t mind rural voter suppression in these states.

[TheLaRocca]

So much energy exhausted over a Change Research poll. Edit: doomers are better off zeroing in on the IBD/TIPP tracker which is far less junky than this survey.

IBD had Romney and trump winning the PV lol. And at this time had the GOP slightly behind in the midterms tho they did shift left at the end.

This poll is fine.

[ProgressiveModerate]

First off, this is Change research, which is a bit iffy at best

Either way, Biden is doing 3% better than Clinton according to this poll, which has been one of his less great polls in the state. If MI, WI, and PA were to also shift just 3%, or even just 1% to the left, assuming everything else stays the same as 2016, Biden wins.

[TheLaRocca]

First off, this is Change research, which is a bit iffy at best

Either way, Biden is doing 3% better than Clinton according to this poll, which has been one of his less great polls in the state. If MI, WI, and PA were to also shift just 3%, or even just 1% to the left, assuming everything else stays the same as 2016, Biden wins.

Yeah I don't get why people can't understand this lol.

[TC 25]

I am in Minnesota and I can tell you it will be close.   Certainly within 5 points.   

Biden has the edge with the Twin Cities metro and Trump would have to eat into those margins to have a chance of actually winning.

My guess is Biden ends up taking MN by 3-4 points but a Trump surge is not completely out of the question.

[Hope For A New Era]

inelastic minnesota

not a cause for alarm

[Hammy]

lol I told you all the Midwest would be closer then you think.

Arizona will vote to the left of Minnesota.

It’s Zoloft time.

Change Research is worse than Rasmussen.

[TheLaRocca]

I am in Minnesota and I can tell you it will be close.   Certainly within 5 points.   

Biden has the edge with the Twin Cities metro and Trump would have to eat into those margins to have a chance of actually winning.

My guess is Biden ends up taking MN by 3-4 points but a Trump surge is not completely out of the question.

I've said 51-47 or 51-46 Biden for like a year on Minnesota. I expect it to vote 3-4% to the right of the nation.

[neostassenite31]

Be sure to check out all of Change Research's 2018 polls in MN. Pay special attention to both the regular and special senate races

[Progressive Pessimist]

Calm down everyone, Biden will win between seven and nine points here at least. Smith too should perform relatively similarly.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

We could always just "throw it in the average" instead of freaking out about.....Biden winning Minnesota outside of the margin of error

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Minnesota President by  Change Research on 2020-10-15

Summary: D: 49%, R: 44%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[TheLaRocca]

Calm down everyone, Biden will win between seven and nine points here at least. Smith too should perform relatively similarly.

lol no

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Calm down everyone, Biden will win between seven and nine points here at least. Smith too should perform relatively similarly.

lol no

lol yes

[Storr]

I don't care if Biden wins Minnesota by 5 or 10, just that he wins. So my reaction is "into the average you go".