How did I not notice this before?

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

(Apologies if this has been brought up before.)

This is the current map of partisan power on the state level:

https://www.270towin.com/maps/yNA7N



Leans: Party has full control of the legislature, but not the governor
Likely: Party has the governor and one house of the legislature (Except NE)
Safe: Party controls legislature and governor

Does that look familiar?

[Hope For A New Era]

I thought this was obvious?

Republicans took full control of the big three + NC during the Tea Party wave, then all four states elected Democratic governors later (WI + MI in 2018, PA in 2014, NC in 2016).

I guess looking back that should have been an indication that the "blue wall" was not as strong as we thought, but it seems pretty normal now.

Then you've got the eight partisanship-breakers - 4 D governors in R states, 4 R governors in D states.

Elsewhere, partisanship wins.

Except Florida, which is really an odd one out here. Thanks a lot, Fidel.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I thought this was obvious?

Republicans took full control of the big three + NC during the Tea Party wave, then all four states elected Democratic governors later (WI + MI in 2018, PA in 2014, NC in 2016).

I guess looking back that should have been an indication that the "blue wall" was not as strong as we thought, but it seems pretty normal now.

Then you've got the eight partisanship-breakers - 4 D governors in R states, 4 R governors in D states.

Elsewhere, partisanship wins.

Except Florida, which is really an odd one out here. Thanks a lot, Fidel.

I just think it's astounding that the map of partisan control is exactly the 2016 presidential map (ignoring ME-02). That speaks to just how deeply the partisan divide goes in this country.

Just a little over a decade ago you had Democrats controlling pieces of state government in red states. Go back to the 90s and you had a lot of state-level Democrats in red states. Then 2010 happened, of course.