KY (Mason-Dixon): Trump +17 (user search)
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  KY (Mason-Dixon): Trump +17 (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY (Mason-Dixon): Trump +17  (Read 1497 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 20, 2020, 05:43:26 AM »
Trump 56
Biden 39

https://twitter.com/pollreport/status/1318493903486513153

Oof. And that's with 95% allocated. Down from +30 in 2016. If Trump is down 13% in places like this, it makes me that harder to believe that places like NC are somehow only about tied (per ABC/Wapo)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 05:50:28 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 20, 2020, 05:47:37 AM
Western Kentucky University, October 30, 2016:

Trump: 54
Clinton: 37

Trump+17

OK? What's your point? Western Kentucky University =/= Mason-Dixon, 2016 =/= 2020, etc etc etc
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2020, 05:53:57 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 20, 2020, 05:52:41 AM
The point is that pollsters don't know how to poll Kentucky.


Mason Dixon was damn good in 2019.

https://www.wsaz.com/content/news/Poll-shows-Bevin-Beshear-in-dead-heat-ahead-of-November-election-563207691.html
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2020, 06:05:30 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 20, 2020, 05:55:38 AM
Mason-Dixon is historically probably the best pollster in southern states.

I hope they release a lot more final polls, especially in TX and SC ...

Yep, they were also incredibly on point in LA in 2019

https://twitter.com/MasonDixonPoll/status/1194279643412606978
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2020, 06:56:08 AM »
That sounds about right. Given the ginormous amount of ancestral Dems, I'd assume about 1/3 of the Dems are basically Rs
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