Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +8 in WI, Biden +4 in PA

[wbrocks67]

Y'all are so predictable. We go through this every time. There's a dearth of high quality polling in PA, a few lower quality ones have the race at like 3-5 and everyone freaks out. Then we get high quality again and its like 7-10. PA is not voting for Trump and there's no way it moved 3% in a single week.

[wbrocks67]

With third-party candidates:

PA:
Biden 49%
Trump 45%
Jorgensen 2%
West 1% (not on the ballot)
Hawkins 0% (not on the ballot)

WI:
Biden 51%
Trump 45%
Jorgensen 2%
West 1% (not on the ballot)
Hawkins 0% (not on the ballot)

Ipsos is a joke for polling West and Hawkins when they aren't even on the ballot.

[wbrocks67]

Also, the congressional polling in PA has been very consistent with the high quality polling of a 7-10 lead, versus a 2-5 lead.

[wbrocks67]

All this confirms is that Pennsylvania is still the truest battleground state of the big three that voted for Trump last time. Biden is still favored though.

Yeah, one poll doesn't prove that.

[wbrocks67]

All this confirms is that Pennsylvania is still the truest battleground state of the big three that voted for Trump last time. Biden is still favored though.

Yeah, one poll doesn't prove that.

Most polls have shown Pennsylvania closer than Michigan and Wisconsin, albeit just barely. Don't get me wrong, all have polled well and relatively similar for Biden.

Most recent high quality polls in PA had it in double digits (Monmouth, Q-pac)

[wbrocks67]

I see people are saying the Philly suburbs aren't as blue as people think, and yet Biden is on track to get close to Wolf's +30 margin there. People who don't know PA are replying and it shows.