Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +8 in WI, Biden +4 in PA (user search)
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  Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +8 in WI, Biden +4 in PA (search mode)
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Author Topic: Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +8 in WI, Biden +4 in PA  (Read 3362 times)
Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,489
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« on: October 19, 2020, 03:55:18 PM »
Quote from: Hammy on October 19, 2020, 03:19:02 PM
Dems are vastly overestimating PA's chance of flipping relative to MI/WI.

They're all probably flipping but yeah I expect PA to be closer than the other two.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,489
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2020, 04:10:04 PM »
Quote from: Single Issue Covid Voter on October 19, 2020, 03:59:12 PM
Quote from: Hammy on October 19, 2020, 03:19:02 PM
Dems are vastly overestimating PA's chance of flipping relative to MI/WI.
Lol.
PA is the most likely State to flip and has been since the start of Trump’s term.
You have the major demographic changes, the 2018 and 2019 trends, and of course, the limited but still important home-state effect.

There isn't going to be a notable "home-state effect" for Biden anywhere other than Delaware.
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