WI-Trafalgar: Biden +1

[Xing]

When even TrafLOLgar has Trump losing Wisconsin, it's hard to see how he wins it. It won't be a blowout for Biden, and it would be very close in a less favorable environment for Democrats, but the takes about Wisconsin being a red state and a "heavy lift" for Democrats this year didn't age well.

[Xing]

When even TrafLOLgar has Trump losing Wisconsin, it's hard to see how he wins it. It won't be a blowout for Biden, and it would be very close in a less favorable environment for Democrats, but the takes about Wisconsin being a red state and a "heavy lift" for Democrats this year didn't age well.

Who says? The polling average right now Biden +7

I meant a blowout like Obama in 2008 or Baldwin's 2018 win. I'm guessing a mid-single digit win for Biden here, which wouldn't suggest a strong trend either way and is about what you would expect for Wisconsin in a Biden +8 election.

[Xing]

So, Trafalgar has Biden ahead in WI and PA and behind in MI.

This map would be possible.

But I believe a map like this would cause unfaithful electors to give the House a third candidate.

-NV going Republican (to the right of PA/WI, no less!)
-"Possible"

Does not compute.