Democrats, what would you consider a good Senate result?

[Orser67]

Democrats and others generally rooting for Democrats in this election, what would you consider a good Senate result in terms of the number of Senate seats Democrats and Democratic-aligned independents control after the election? I'll let you determine how you define the word "good" for yourself, but I guess for me I'm talking about a result that isn't necessarily the best possible one but that would leave me feeling pretty satisfied.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Bad: 49 or less
Ok: 50-51
Good: 52 seats
Outstanding: 53+

[Orser67]

For me, 52 seats, which I expect would look like this (using FL for GA-special):

54 or more would qualify as "great" in my book.

[Catalyst138]

I just want a majority at this point.

[Hope For A New Era]

49 or lower = bad
50 = ok
51 or higher = good

[Blair]

50 to ensure a Biden term isn't DOA, 51 to make his term effective & 52 to make it easy.

It's worth remembering that we've got a special election in AZ (making Kelly a swing vote) & the senate cycle is generally decided by the one before (looking at you Bill Nelson)

[One Term Floridian]

A good result for me personally is 52 or more seats total that are not in Republican hands

[NewYorkExpress]

Having enough seats to ensure that Biden and Harris are safe from any impeachment attempts after the 2022 midterms. (because Republicans are going to try and install Kevin McCarthy as soon as they win back the House.)

[MATTROSE94]

Realistically, we are probably looking at a net D+5 in the Senate this year, with Michigan and Alabama being the only sure-fire gains for the Republicans at this point. That would give the Democrats a possible buffer for 2022 and maybe allow them to gut the filibuster and pack the court.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Taking the Senate at all. Ideally with at least 51 seats rather than a tie with Harris becoming Vice President.

Realistically, we are probably looking at a net D+5 in the Senate this year, with Michigan and Alabama being the only sure-fire gains for the Republicans at this point. That would give the Democrats a possible buffer for 2022 and maybe allow them to gut the filibuster and pack the court.

Peters is going to be fine.

[Xing]

Bad: 49 or less
Ok: 50-51
Good: 52 seats
Outstanding: 53+

[SnowLabrador]

I want at least 52.

[KaiserDave]

Realistically, we are probably looking at a net D+5 in the Senate this year, with Michigan and Alabama being the only sure-fire gains for the Republicans at this point. That would give the Democrats a possible buffer for 2022 and maybe allow them to gut the filibuster and pack the court.

No?

[ProgressiveModerate]

As long as McConnel is gone, I'll be happy, but having a 2+ seat buffer would be nice.

[Ferguson97]

52/53 seats is where I'm comfortable.

[Mr. Smith]

52/53 because Manchin and Sinema need to be overriden.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Realistically, we are probably looking at a net D+5 in the Senate this year, with Michigan and Alabama being the only sure-fire gains for the Republicans at this point. That would give the Democrats a possible buffer for 2022 and maybe allow them to gut the filibuster and pack the court.

I think James can definately win, but he's not going to be winning in an environment where Ds are netting 5 seats.

[Common Sense Atlantan]

50-50 at least

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Majority, Bullock, Dr Gross, Dr Bollier will win they are pragmatists not socialists

[Yoda]

51, b/c I don't want VP Harris casting a million tie-breaker votes, although obviously each seat dems win beyond 51 to pad their majority even more so they could afford to lose a dem senator vote or two on certain bills would make me ecstatic.

[Pericles]

51, b/c I don't want VP Harris casting a million tie-breaker votes, although obviously each seat sems win beyond 51 to pad their majority even more so they could afford to lose a dem senator vote or two on certain bills would make me ecstatic.

Yes. 50 is a relief, but frustrating. 51 is good. 52 would be great, it's pretty hard to lose 3 votes on a major vote, and getting into the mid to high 50s would be amazing. My guess is Democrats are currently on track for 53 seats.

[MillennialModerate]

A working majority to get some important things done. So 51 seats (50/50 VP tie isn’t comfortable considering moderates up for re-election in 2022 would likely vote No on somethings


48 would be CATASTROPHIC 
49 is still HORRIFIC (not just bad)
50 is okay
51 is Good
52 would be fantastic
Over 52 would be amazing

[7,052,770]

53 is the goal, as that hopefully gives us a +10 margin once Douglass and Puerto Rico are finally allowed basic equality and decency (although if they choose otherwise, fair enough).

A D+10 majority should be safe for a while, assuming we don't get incompetent and blow it.

[Badger]

I'm expecting a likely 51-seat majority, with the expected results in Alabama, North Carolina, Colorado, Maine, and Arizona, Plus Greenfield beating Ernst in a close race in Iowa. So anything more than that is a pleasant surprise. I suppose picking up Montana and beating Purdue in Georgia would be cause for enthusiasm.

As much as I like Warnock, I think run-off elections in Georgia are just too Tilted against Democrats that I don't think he would even beat loffler. Nor am I convinced Hager will ultimately Triumph against John Corwin, as I anticipate the latter will run a crucial point or three ahead of trump. I don't anticipate some come from behind upset in either South Carolina or Alaska. The former is still too in elastic, and the latter simply doesn't trust Democrats enough at the federal level yet.

As I've said before, I am anticipating less of a 1980 style night where the floor drops out for the incumbent senators and tons of seats thought largely safe until the last month all slip away, and more like 1982 where, despite the unpopularity of the incumbent party and losses elsewhere, a bunch of Republican Senate seats are narrowly kept by tiny margins.

[xavier110]

52/53 because Manchin and Sinema need to be overriden.

Sinema is a former anti war Green voter. She will not stray the party line when there's a majority and AZ trends blue.