The more I look at the cross tabs of this poll, the better it looks for Biden. LeanvR.
What part looks good for him? The very high # of undecideds+third-party support among younger voters is not good for Biden. He's doing well with women, but I don't think it'll be enough to make the state competitive on election day.
Anchorage’s trend as well as the fact that they seemed to have issues reaching out to indigenous D-leaning voters in western AK.
It's not just Western Alaska....Native-American communities in Alaska, actually run something maybe around 18% of the total statewide population, and typically tend to be more concentrated in rural parts of the State outside of Metro Anchorage.
Here's a Census demographic map of Alaska by the "Other category"
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I am not an expert on Native voting patterns in Alaska, let alone comparative turnout levels by election, but it is certainly plausible that if you look at the Census Map breakdown by "Other" when it comes to race & ethnicity, you will see solid Native majorities just about everywhere in the North and West (Even the North Slope is ~53% Native), until you roll into Fairbanks to the North and down to Mat-Su and the Kodiak Inlet. Meanwhile you have another large Native American belt which stretches down from the Copper River into the Alaskan panhandle where you see a significant presence of Native Populations who were trading partners and had similar cultures and languages to many of the Native populations of BC, Washington, and NW Oregon....
So agree with your broader argument as to what it might take for an AK-PRES flip...
Wish we knew more about what's going on in Mat-Su.
