AZ-Targoz: Trump +1
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  AZ-Targoz: Trump +1
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Author Topic: AZ-Targoz: Trump +1  (Read 1549 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 15, 2020, 04:28:03 PM »

Trump 46
Biden 45

But somehow Kelly leads by 10 points.

https://www.pollsmartmr.com/latest-polls-1/trump-kelly-lead-in-arizona
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Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2020, 04:34:48 PM »

I, for one, welcome our new Targoz overlords.

Titanium R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2020, 04:36:24 PM »

No
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Buzz
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2020, 04:40:15 PM »

#RedArizona


Don’t say you weren’t warned =)
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2020, 04:43:36 PM »

Eh, an outlier poll here or there with Trump leading by a point doesn't trouble me.

Throw it in the average.

Edit: Especially considering this poll was almost all done before Trump's coronavirus diagnosis.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2020, 04:47:30 PM »

Either the Kelly + 10 number is wrong or this is wrong, or both numbers are off. Kelly is definately not outperforming Biden by 11 points
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Asta
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2020, 04:48:24 PM »

"Polls with tight or narrow likely voter screens or that rely on prior voter history to identify “likely voters” could be missing a block of voters (often older and male) who do not always show up on election day but plan to vote this year."

Not sure if I really buy that assessment.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2020, 04:50:01 PM »

Yeah, Sept 23 to Oct 2nd and it gets released now.  Whatever.  And is it my imagination, but do polling firm names keep getting worse and worse?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2020, 04:53:35 PM »



Targoz speaks to you, his chosen ones. You have been raised up from brutality, to kill the brutals who multiply, and are legion. To this end, Targoz your god gave you the gift of the gun. The gun is good. The penis is evil. The penis shoots seeds, and makes new life, and poisons the earth with a plague of men, as once it was. But the gun shoots death, and purifies the earth of the filth of brutals. Go forth and kill!
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FourEyedRick
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« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2020, 04:56:16 PM »

Either the Kelly + 10 number is wrong or this is wrong, or both numbers are off. Kelly is definately not outperforming Biden by 11 points
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NYDem
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« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2020, 04:56:28 PM »

Poll is both 2 weeks old, and taken over a period of 2 weeks. Absolute trash.
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Hammy
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« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2020, 04:58:00 PM »

We're going to start giving early-2016-esque numbers credibility now? Arizona (like Georgia) is a state I don't see either getting less than 48% so this poll tells us nothing.
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redjohn
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« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2020, 04:59:10 PM »

Biden emails-bump.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2020, 04:59:24 PM »

Poll is both 2 weeks old, and taken over a period of 2 weeks. Absolute trash.

lol
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: October 15, 2020, 05:04:12 PM »

For PollSmart
1045 likely voters
MoE: 3.03%

Other 10%

They modelled a low-turnout scenario but not a higher-turnout variant and said they didn't expect the low-turnout scenario to actually happen, so it's not worth posting IMO.
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Person Man
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« Reply #15 on: October 15, 2020, 05:10:10 PM »



Targoz speaks to you, his chosen ones. You have been raised up from brutality, to kill the brutals who multiply, and are legion. To this end, Targoz your god gave you the gift of the gun. The gun is good. The penis is evil. The penis shoots seeds, and makes new life, and poisons the earth with a plague of men, as once it was. But the gun shoots death, and purifies the earth of the filth of brutals. Go forth and kill!

Sounds like a Republican stump speech.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: October 15, 2020, 05:11:46 PM »

In 2018, polls undersampled CCM numbers and Sisolak numbers as well as Sinemas numbers. We should be used to this, there will be polls that show Trump close in NV and AZ just like in 2016 and 2018
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #17 on: October 15, 2020, 05:24:47 PM »

#RedArizona


Don’t say you weren’t warned =)
Gonna save this post. No reason in particular, it just looks nice.

Oh, and btw, this is the Beshear +21 pollster from last year
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: October 15, 2020, 05:29:05 PM »

#RedArizona


Don’t say you weren’t warned =)
Gonna save this post. No reason in particular, it just looks nice.

Oh, and btw, this is the Beshear +21 pollster from last year

Trump is gonna win by 20!?!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #19 on: October 16, 2020, 12:14:29 PM »

New Poll: Arizona President by Targoz Strategic Marketing on 2020-10-02

Summary: D: 45%, R: 46%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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