VA-Roanoke: Warner +17
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  VA-Roanoke: Warner +17
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Author Topic: VA-Roanoke: Warner +17  (Read 676 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 15, 2020, 08:08:30 AM »

Warner 55%
Gade 38%

https://www.roanoke.edu/documents/rcpoll/RR%20RC%20VA%20election%20poll%20Oct%202020%20topline.pdf
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Astatine
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2020, 08:10:57 AM »

Safe D
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2020, 08:28:37 AM »

Titanium D race is Titanium D
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2020, 09:39:41 AM »

Including Reconnect Research
September 30-October 12
602 likely voters
Not going to include changes as the last poll didn't have Reconnect Research involved, AFAIK

Quote
Nonprobability samples do not allow the use of a traditional margin of sampling error. If this was a probability sample, which it is not, the estimate of sampling error would be approximately 5.4%, including the design effect. However, there is no margin of error associated with this survey.

Undecided 7%
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2020, 09:41:23 AM »

About what I expect, thinking the final margin will be something like Warner +15.5 though
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MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2020, 07:36:20 PM »

Warner winning by a Kaine 2018 margin is about what Im expecting since hes precisely the kind of moderate needed to lock down this state in a presidential year. Too bad the alt-right Russian spies wont like it.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2020, 09:15:06 PM »

Warner winning by a Kaine 2018 margin is about what Im expecting since hes precisely the kind of moderate needed to lock down this state in a presidential year. Too bad the alt-right Russian spies wont like it.

A progressive Democrat could easily win Virginia at this point.

And for all the talk of Nova being full of Romney-Clinton voters it sends quite a progressive delegation to the House of Delegates and State Senate. Nova delegates tend to be more leftist compared to their delegates from Richmond and Hampton Roads areas.

Not saying that Lee Carter or Danica Roem would be able to win statewide easily.
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2020, 03:58:25 PM »

Warner 2020 >  Kaine 2018

Corey Stewart was so tied to Trump that I feel like Biden will replicate Kaine's 2018 map and Warner will add even more crossover support and might win by 20 or more.
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Woody
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2020, 04:01:31 PM »

Lean D.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2020, 04:43:15 PM »

Safe Daniel Gade (best candidate of all time) according to our fellow forum member New Tennessean Politician.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2020, 04:45:53 PM »






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