VA - Roanoke College: Biden+15 (user search)
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  VA - Roanoke College: Biden+15 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA - Roanoke College: Biden+15  (Read 2389 times)
Badger
badger
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Posts: 40,329
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« on: October 15, 2020, 06:32:09 PM »
« edited: October 15, 2020, 06:36:03 PM by Badger »

Two solid VA polls today, both pointing towards a Biden +10 national environment.

lol no

My state is trending D at a rapid rate.

That would still be a D+2 trend if VA voted Biden by 15 and nationally by 10

True, but is perhaps the original posters point was that Virginia is trending D with such Breakneck speed, and it is further exactly the type of place where republican-leaning Suburbanites are abandoning Trump in droves, expecting ONLY a 2-point Democratic trend here-- which would be consistent with a + 10 National Biden lead - - might be a bit conservative.

Given how badly Virginia Republicans have done at the Statewide level for the last several years, with the possible exception of Gillespie's near upset of Warner, it's easy to forget that Virginia was only about + 3 D in 2016 and hasn't quite shed its purple State status yet ( though it's clearly headed quickly in that direction).
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Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,329
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2020, 10:37:36 AM »

SW VA (n=66): Trump 52-38 (+14)
Southside (n=48): Biden 60-32 (+28)
Shenandoah Valley (n=42): Biden 50-40 (+10)
Central/Richmond (n=114): Biden 58-36 (+22)
NoVa (n=175): Biden 56-34 (+22)
Tidewater (n=138): Biden 52-39 (+13)

Shenandoah Joe.

Relatively good numbers for Biden in Southwest Virginia, or at least hitting his Marx. But relatively weak numbers in Nova. Though margin of error 4 sub samples duly noted
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