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October 24, 2020, 01:16:38 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  FL: St.PetePolls: Biden +2
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Author Topic: FL: St.PetePolls: Biden +2  (Read 420 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 14, 2020, 10:16:21 AM »

New Poll: Florida President by St.PetePolls on 2020-10-12

Summary: D: 49%, R: 47%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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darthpi
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2020, 10:18:42 AM »

Within reasonable range of expectations.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2020, 10:34:58 AM »

Biden -1 since late September.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2020, 10:37:13 AM »

State polls just not supporting the Biden +12 stuff.  Still more than enough to win if they are accurate though.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2020, 10:38:29 AM »

State polls just not supporting the Biden +12 stuff.  Still more than enough to win if they are accurate though.

Florida is never going to be more than two points either way no matter what the political environment is.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2020, 10:38:48 AM »

State polls just not supporting the Biden +12 stuff.  Still more than enough to win if they are accurate though.

Good pollsters have, middling have not.
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CellarDoor
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2020, 10:39:27 AM »

State polls just not supporting the Biden +12 stuff.  Still more than enough to win if they are accurate though.

Some states move more than others.  There are plenty of polls that support a Biden +10-12 lead.  There are others that show a 8-10 point lead.  We'll see what happens.
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darthpi
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2020, 10:42:10 AM »

State polls just not supporting the Biden +12 stuff.  Still more than enough to win if they are accurate though.

Most of the state polls are implying a Biden national lead around 9-10 points, though obviously this specific poll does not.
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Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2020, 10:42:52 AM »

Hispanics (n=344): Biden 54/43 (+11)
50-69 (n=797): Biden 54/43 (+11)
70+ (n=583): Trump 59-38 (+21)

Pensacola (n=98): Trump 60-37 (+23)
Panama City (n=49): Trump 63-31 (+32)
Tallahassee (n=34): Trump 50-41 (+9)
Jacksonville (n=178): Trump 54-44 (+10)
Gainesville (n=38): Trump 53-45 (+8)
Orlando (n=464): Biden 49-47 (+2)
Tampa (n=549): Biden 50-47 (+3)
West Palm Beach (n=223): Biden 49-48 (+1)
Fort Myers (n=155): Trump 56-41 (+15)
Miami (n=427): Biden 60-36 (+24)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2020, 10:47:37 AM »

October 11-12
2215 likely voters
MoE: 2.1%
Changes with September 21-22 poll

Pre-Rounding changes and margin: Biden +2%

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 47% (+1)
Third Party 1% (n/c)
Undecided 2% (n/c)
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Buzz
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2020, 10:48:16 AM »

Pure toss up.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2020, 10:49:41 AM »

Clear Lean Biden
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Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
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« Reply #12 on: October 14, 2020, 10:57:40 AM »

Remember when someone said the next FL poll would corroborate Quinnipiac’s  Purple heart “findings”?
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