The Houston area is also more likely to stick with Trump than other urban areas in Texas due to the presence of the oil & gas industry. This is not a good poll for Trump.
The economy here has kind of diversified a lot lately in the past decade. To the point where 10 years from now oil and gas is likely to be 20% of the economy. IT/Tech is trying hard to get inside Houston.
When I lived in Houston in the early to mid 2010s, I worked in the Tech Sector (Although not in CD-22), and was actually pretty surprised at how diversified the economy was, compared to some of my pre-existing perceptions of the Metro Area.
In terms of CD-22, I seem to recall doing a bit of a look-around at Sugarland on the 2016 "Super-Wealthy Towns which Swung Against Trump thread", so was able to locate a post that I made back on 2/27/17:
"#18 Wealthiest in Metro- Sugar Land- MHI $ 104.7k/Yr- Pop 80.8k(45% White, 35% Asian, 10% Latino, 8 % African-American)
(14% Indian-Americans, 10% Chinese-Americans, 3% Pakistani-Americans, 2% Vietnamese-Americans)
Occupations: 16% Management, 13% Sales, 13% Admin, 8% Business, 7% Education, 6% Health Care, 6% Engineering, 6% Computers & Math)
Relative Occupations: Highest variance with engineering, computers & Math, and Science
2012: (38.3 D- 61.1 R) +22.8% R
2016: (46.9 D- 46.8 R) +0.1% D (+22.9% Dem Swing)
Not a good sign at all for Texas Republicans in 2020.... note that Sugar Land actually had a significantly lower margin for Clinton than Fort Bend County at large.....
[/i]"
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=259050.msg5545629#msg5545629Anecdotally, we really enjoyed going to Sugar lands, to shop at the Ranch Market, which was our favorite Asian-American Grocery Store before we moved from California to Texas.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99_Ranch_Market I digress...
CD-22 is 17.6% Asian-American, of whom roughly 35% are of Indian Ancestry, 20% Chinese Ancestry, and 16% Vietnamese Ancestry, as well as also relatively large Filipino and Pakistani populations.
Like many parts of Metro H-Town, it also has a decent sixed population of Brothers & Sisters, with about 14% African-American.
Hit Stafford-Missouri City County Census Sub-Division Map, you are running at 46% Black, but still there is a decent sized community of 14% of the Alvin-Pearland Sub-Division Map (!!!), 14.7% in the Rosenberg-Richomnd Sub-Division Map (!!!).
Sugarland is 16% Black.
Latino Voters can be fickle compared to demographics in Tejas, depending upon place, but 42% in Rosenberg-Richmond is nothing to sneeze at, not to mention 18% Latino in Sugarland (!!!).
I should just stop while I am ahead, but let me close with one brief comment and thought.
1.) We have seen historically patterns where entire Metro Areas start to shift dramatically almost overnight. A.) Exhibit A---- 1988 General Election (Seattle, Portland, Bay Area Norcal).
By 2016 the Republican Party has been virtually wiped out, and in certain places in 2018,
brooms swept out some of the last few remaining OR State-House and State-Senate PUB
representing the Exurban areas.
B.) Exhibit B--- SoCal. Bush Senior held his own allowing him to hold the State solidly against
Dukakis back in '88.
Meanwhile you got this guy called Pete Wilson, who has the hookups from his associations with
folks like Goldwater, Nixon, etc...
Shat hit the fan with demobilization after the end of Cold War, where SoCal had been
Universally gifted, with lavish Defense Industry Conducts that basically all came to an end.
Gov. Pete Wilson pushed for Prop 187 (essentially a precursor for the AZ "paper please laws).
1992: Rodney King--- As a Gen-Exer, this perhaps might be more like a "George Floyd
Moment for much of our generation".
Still--- needless to say SoCal started to shift harder in certain places, and slower in others, but
damn Metro areas of certain sizes, eventually a glacier becomes a juggernaut, and there is no
hope, and no future left, without an extreme revision of the National Brand.
C.) Metro Denver / Metro DC (VA/MD/DC) in the '00s
D.) Metro Columbus / Metro Philly / Metro Chicago
So basically, where I'm going with all this is that Metro Houston is flipping hard, it's flipping fast, and once it flips, there is no going back jack!