TX-22 - GBAO (D): Biden +9

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The Houston area is also more likely to stick with Trump than other urban areas in Texas due to the presence of the oil & gas industry. This is not a good poll for Trump.

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The Houston area is also more likely to stick with Trump than other urban areas in Texas due to the presence of the oil & gas industry. This is not a good poll for Trump.

The economy here has kind of diversified a lot lately in the past decade. To the point where 10 years from now oil and gas is likely to be 20% of the economy. IT/Tech is trying hard to get inside Houston.

Absolutely, but that industry is more important to the Houston area than places like Austin or Dallas.

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The Houston area is also more likely to stick with Trump than other urban areas in Texas due to the presence of the oil & gas industry. This is not a good poll for Trump.

The economy here has kind of diversified a lot lately in the past decade. To the point where 10 years from now oil and gas is likely to be 20% of the economy. IT/Tech is trying hard to get inside Houston.

Absolutely, but that industry is more important to the Houston area than places like Austin or Dallas.

Absolutely agree---

Still, depression in the Oil Patch in '88 benefited Dukakis over Bush in places like LA, OK, and TX.

Maybe some of it was Lloyd Bentsen being Dukakis' VP and kicking Quayle's arse in the '88 VP debate.

Part of the problem with Republican appeal to Energy Sector Workers in TX, is that simply we are not talking about an overwhelmingly Anglo Population, and that workers in both the off-shore Rigs, Inland Oil Refineries , and even the Truckers and workers in the Eagle Ford Shale region of TX are increasingly (and quite likely are overwhelmingly Black & Brown.

Additionally, even in many of the Higher Compensation levels of the Union Refinery jobs, the demographics have not only shifted significantly, but additionally have almost paradoxically created a "perfect storm" for Republican performance among Mexican-Americans, Tejanos, and various other Migras, when the Republicans in the US-SEN backed down on immigration reform, to the point where Romney is almost pleading that "Immigrants are peoples my friend".

Still, only so far you can roll with TX Crude, but still Metro H-Town has some of the best when it comes to Oil Extraction Technologies with minimal Carbon Footprint.

It's really fascinating since after the major first wave of the new Exxon-Mobile Corp HQ in The Woodlands, it started to swing HARD-DEM.

Haven't run all of the numbers on The Woodlands, but damn swings in Montgomery County, will likely come disproportionately from places like this, basically 30-40 min drive down the road max....

Still TX-22 is much less dependent upon Petro jobs, than many other parts of Metro H-Town.

IMHO--- maybe I'm wrong...

I'm in Odessa and I would say a majority of Oil & Gas workers are non-white, much like the city itself. I would assume its similar in Houston and certainly in the Eagle Ford shale area. Many do vote Republican, especially here, but aren't necessarily the biggest fans of Trump either. The biggest attack ads in this area and in adjoining NM-02 are regarding the green new deal and how all the Democrats are linked to AOC who wants to shut down all Oil & Gas production in NM and TX.