NC-Monmouth: Cunningham +5
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Author Topic: NC-Monmouth: Cunningham +5  (Read 1180 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 13, 2020, 10:02:55 AM »
Cunningham 49%
Tillis 44%

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_NC_101320/
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 10:03:23 AM »
Lol to all those people calling this race instantly tilt R.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2020, 10:04:10 AM »
Cunningham gained support from the previous poll, lol
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WD
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2020, 10:04:40 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 13, 2020, 10:04:10 AM
Cunningham gained support from the previous poll, lol

NC is a meme state
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2020, 10:12:37 AM »
Favorabilities:
Cunningham: 25/33 (-8, was +12)
Tillis: 30/34 (-4, was =)
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2020, 10:12:43 AM »
Anyone else think it's funny that thus far in every NC-SEN poll, Cunningham has gained support post-scandal. Just goes to show how reactionary atlas is
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xavier110
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2020, 10:15:25 AM »
No such thing as bad publicity
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2020, 10:18:07 AM »
Historically sexy.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2020, 10:20:21 AM »
Quote from: lean d if fink says trumpism on October 13, 2020, 10:12:37 AM
Favorabilities:
Cunningham: 25/33 (-8, was +12)
Tillis: 30/34 (-4, was =)

The fact that 43% say they don't have an opinion on Cunningham. Maybe it's for the better at this point lol
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2020, 10:23:24 AM »
October 8-11
500 registered/likely voters
MoE: 4.4%
Changes with August 29 - September 1 poll

Among RVs
Cunningham 48% (+2)
Tillis 44% (-1)
Bray (L) 3% (+1)
No one 1% (n/c)
Hayes (C) 0% (but some voters) (-1)
Other candidate 0% (no voters) (n/c from "Other candidate" at 0% but with some voters)
Undecided 3% (-2)

"Other" (Bray (L) + Hayes (C) + Other candidate) 3% (n/c)

Likely voters - high turnout model
Cunningham 49% (+2)
Tillis 44% (-1)
Other 3% (-1)
Undecided 3% (-1)

Likely voters - low turnout model
Cunningham 48% (+2)
Tillis 47% (+1)
Other 2% (-2)
Undecided 2% (-2)
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2020, 10:24:29 AM »
Safe D, voters do not care about Democrat's scandals, Cunningham could probably be an admitted rapist and still win.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2020, 10:27:28 AM »
If Deborah Ross hadn't campaigned like she was running for office in New Jersey, she likely could have unseated Burr in 2016.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2020, 10:41:14 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 13, 2020, 10:20:21 AM
Quote from: lean d if fink says trumpism on October 13, 2020, 10:12:37 AM
Favorabilities:
Cunningham: 25/33 (-8, was +12)
Tillis: 30/34 (-4, was =)

The fact that 43% say they don't have an opinion on Cunningham. Maybe it's for the better at this point lol

Undecideds and "no opinion"s have been bizarrely high for this race, and this race alone. I have no idea what's causing it.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2020, 10:42:36 AM »
So, Cunningham's lead isnt 10 like Survey had it, it's 5
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Donerail
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2020, 10:44:46 AM »
Hoping Doug Jones, Al Gross, and Steve Bullock all have their people hard at work cooking up a steamy yet tasteful scandal for them. Key to victory this year!
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Person Man
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2020, 10:51:19 AM »
Quote from: Gulf Coastal Elite on October 13, 2020, 10:44:46 AM
Hoping Doug Jones, Al Gross, and Steve Bullock all have their people hard at work cooking up a steamy yet tasteful scandal for them. Key to victory this year!
It means you are Chad, you cuck!
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2020, 02:06:50 PM »
Lmao he gained support
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Roblox
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« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2020, 02:34:03 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on October 13, 2020, 10:27:28 AM
If Deborah Ross hadn't campaigned like she was running for office in New Jersey, she likely could have unseated Burr in 2016.


Lol Burr wouldn't have been unseated as long as Trump was winning the state. Most competitive races broke against democrats of all stripes at the end of the 2016 election.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2020, 03:09:32 PM »
Right now it's a tied Senate and GA R and S will determine control, but we never know what happens in a wave, they still won't poll ME, KY and KS
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: October 13, 2020, 03:45:38 PM »
It continues to be bizarre that any reputable prediction site has this as anything less than Lean D. Tillis has been polling abysmally for an incumbent for months now. NC has been one of the most heavily polled states too, so we have seen a lot of polls from many different firms. Add to this Cunningham’s huge cash advantage, and this race is not a toss up.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #20 on: October 13, 2020, 03:59:43 PM »
So happy it looks Cunningham will win even with the (non-)scandal! Good stuff, NC!
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Storr
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« Reply #21 on: October 13, 2020, 04:57:59 PM »
Yes. Name a more weird/memeable Senate pair than John Edwards and Jesse Helms, which NC had for four years.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2020, 06:02:50 PM »
If Tillis can't use the Cunningham scandal to his advantage the situation really is dire for him.

I'm not superstitious, but in this instance I really do feel like the Helms Hex is impossible to overcome. Being an incumbent in this seat is a loss by default.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #23 on: October 13, 2020, 06:27:13 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on October 13, 2020, 06:02:50 PM
If Tillis can't use the Cunningham scandal to his advantage the situation really is dire for him.

I'm not superstitious, but in this instance I really do feel like the Helms Hex is impossible to overcome. Being an incumbent in this seat is a loss by default.
Helms Hex?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #24 on: October 13, 2020, 06:28:23 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on October 13, 2020, 06:27:13 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on October 13, 2020, 06:02:50 PM
If Tillis can't use the Cunningham scandal to his advantage the situation really is dire for him.

I'm not superstitious, but in this instance I really do feel like the Helms Hex is impossible to overcome. Being an incumbent in this seat is a loss by default.
Helms Hex?


Yeah, I coined that term to refer to the fact that no Senator in this seat since Helms has been re-elected.
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