MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kunce is the Nominee anyways

[Lambsbread]

Let's go Lucas!!!!!

[SnowLabrador]

Let's go Lucas!!!!!

Fun fact: My IRL name is Lucas. So I'm rooting for this guy even more, not that it'll matter.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It does matter MO Senate race and OH Senate race, are very important, moreso than FL and NC, like Trump D's can reach 50 percent on EDay and Prez be at 44 percent that's how Rs netted seats in both 2018)2020 with Trump at 44/ Approval ratings

Users care too much about Biden low Approvals anyways

[Pollster]

Scott Sifton has dropped out and endorsed Trudy Busch Valentine, heir to the Anheuser-Busch fortune, who entered yesterday morning.

[wbrocks67]

Scott Sifton has dropped out and endorsed Trudy Busch Valentine, heir to the Anheuser-Busch fortune, who entered yesterday morning.

Who do we think is the better Dem prospect here? Kunce or Busch?

[SnowLabrador]

Scott Sifton has dropped out and endorsed Trudy Busch Valentine, heir to the Anheuser-Busch fortune, who entered yesterday morning.

Who do we think is the better Dem prospect here? Kunce or Busch?

It doesn't matter. Look how much McCaskill lost by in a blue wave. This is a red wave. Democrats shouldn't spend any money on this race.

[wbrocks67]

Scott Sifton has dropped out and endorsed Trudy Busch Valentine, heir to the Anheuser-Busch fortune, who entered yesterday morning.

Who do we think is the better Dem prospect here? Kunce or Busch?

It doesn't matter. Look how much McCaskill lost by in a blue wave. This is a red wave. Democrats shouldn't spend any money on this race.

This comment doesn't answer my question or provide anything of value to this discussion.

[Lambsbread]

Scott Sifton has dropped out and endorsed Trudy Busch Valentine, heir to the Anheuser-Busch fortune, who entered yesterday morning.

Who do we think is the better Dem prospect here? Kunce or Busch?

It doesn't matter. Look how much McCaskill lost by in a blue wave. This is a red wave. Democrats shouldn't spend any money on this race.

This comment doesn't answer my question or provide anything of value to this discussion.

This is the standard for the person you're responding to.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MO and OH are certainly our 54/55 seats but LA and GA are going to Runoffs, they're both winnable

We definitely can't have JD Vance in the S Rs are introducing legislation to expunge impeachment from the Record and Vance support it

[MarkD]

Libertarian Jonathan Dine is running for the Senate again. This is the third time in a row he'll be trying for the Class 3 senate seat, and he also ran for the Class 1 seat once (2012).

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Scott Sifton has dropped out and endorsed Trudy Busch Valentine, heir to the Anheuser-Busch fortune, who entered yesterday morning.

Who do we think is the better Dem prospect here? Kunce or Busch?

Assuming she turns out to have at least Generic D-level candidate competence, then definitely Busch-Valentine.  The Busch name is absolutely golden in the greater St. Louis metro region (including the suburbs).  For better or (more often) worse, that family could get away with murder there whether the trial were held in Kirkwood or downtown St. Louis proper (which are about as different as you can get).  That said, Busch-Valentine and Kunce will both get killed, especially against anyone other than Grietens.  I do think that *if* she turns out to be an at least half-decent campaigner, then Busch-Valentine definitely has a shot at doing well enough against Grietens to make her a serious, potentially field-clearing candidate should a good opportunity to run for something else (like a swingy court-drawn MO-2, a state legislative seat, or even as wave insurance for a row office against an unusually weak Republican, etc) down the road and I suspect that is the actual goal here. 

Honestly though, it’s just a question of which way you prefer arranging the deck chairs on the Titanic though b/c even against Grietens, both she and Kunce would likely end up losing (my guess would be upper single-digits/low-double digits).

[Suburbia]

Democrats should not waste money here, Likely/Safe D unless a Roy Moore situation emerges.

Republicans should have recruited Kurt Warner. No baggage, could appeal to Black voters in STL.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Democrats should not waste money here, Likely/Safe D unless a Roy Moore situation emerges.

Republicans should have recruited Kurt Warner. No baggage, could appeal to Black voters in STL.

Lol Trump gained seats twice at 44 percent approvals D's are on the ballot not Biden D's can certainly reach 50 percent while Biden is at 44 Percent

Trump was at 44: percent on EDay 2020 and her gained H seats

We can win MO

[ProgressiveModerate]

Democrats should not waste money here, Likely/Safe D unless a Roy Moore situation emerges.

Republicans should have recruited Kurt Warner. No baggage, could appeal to Black voters in STL.

Ye I feel so confident in winning this seat.

[Canis]

https://twitter.com/LucasKunceMO/status/1508932817740312578?t=x7Yss1Savg0oMwNrMz...

[Calthrina950]

Libertarian Jonathan Dine is running for the Senate again. This is the third time in a row he'll be trying for the Class 3 senate seat, and he also ran for the Class 1 seat once (2012).

Dine got 6% of the vote that year, his best performance to date. Obviously, that was because of Todd Akin. He got Republican voters that were disgusted by Akin but wouldn't vote for Claire McCaskill.

[Suburbia]

Safe R I mean.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe R I mean.

We know it's safe R, D's aren't gonna win Red states with his polls at 34% I'm Red states no ways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/eric-greitens-took-victim-purse-100000160.html

He's on the cusp of the nomination and Rs think it's Safe R no, go Trudy Valentine

[jkmillion]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/eric-greitens-took-victim-purse-100000160.html

He's on the cusp of the nomination and Rs think it's Safe R no, go Trudy Valentine

Uh... Eric Greitens would have to implode during the general election(like Roy Moore) for the Democrats to have any benefit.

Issue is that Greitens is so bad that he actually lost the lead(Schmitt and Hartzler caught up to Greitens) and he is unlikely to win the primary. Anything that causes Greiten's primary numbers to go down is good for Republicans.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/eric-greitens-took-victim-purse-100000160.html

He's on the cusp of the nomination and Rs think it's Safe R no, go Trudy Valentine

Uh... Eric Greitens would have to implode during the general election(like Roy Moore) for the Democrats to have any benefit.

Issue is that Greitens is so bad that he actually lost the lead(Schmitt and Hartzler caught up to Greitens) and he is unlikely to win the primary. Anything that causes Greiten's primary numbers to go down is good for Republicans.

I don't think its particularly unlikely for him to win the primary. Right after a week of non-stop negative news, he's just in a 3-way tie, I don't know how he can go down from here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We need more polls to tell us how good Trudy Valentine is

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/EricGreitens/status/1516451290569711622
Seems like Don Jr is trying to say here that Trump is still strongly considering endorsing Greitens.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There hasn't been one single poll of MI sice Traggy had it tied why is that we don't know