IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 03:29:27 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5
Author Topic: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head  (Read 9478 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: October 18, 2020, 08:14:32 AM »
Biden +5
Biden 50%
Trump 45% (+2)
Jorgensen 2%
Hawkins 1%

H2H: Biden +6
Biden 50%
Trump 44% (+1)
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: October 18, 2020, 08:44:44 AM »
pre-rounding changes

Quote from: VARepublican on October 18, 2020, 08:14:32 AM
Biden +5
Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 45% (+1)
Jorgensen 2% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 1% (n/c)
Not sure 1% (n/c)

H2H: Biden +6
Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 44% (+1)
Logged
afleitch
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,858


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: October 18, 2020, 09:01:38 AM »
Very bouncy isn't it.
Logged
Sbane
sbane
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,308


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: October 18, 2020, 09:21:55 AM »
I think this poll will be very good at telling us what Trump's final number will be. 44-45% seems very reasonable.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,221


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: October 18, 2020, 11:44:51 AM »

Yeah this poll is a hot mess. For a daily tracking poll, there should not be swings this wild.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: October 19, 2020, 08:22:22 AM »
Biden +5 (n/c)

Biden 50%
Trump 44% (-1)
Jorgensen 2%
Hawkins +1

H2H: Biden +6
Biden 50%
Trump 44%
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: October 19, 2020, 08:45:58 AM »
Pre-rounding changes:
Biden +5

Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 44% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 1% (n/c)
Not sure 1% (n/c)

Head-to-head:
Biden +6

Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 44% (n/c)
Logged
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,216
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -0.65, S: -1.57

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: October 19, 2020, 11:47:26 AM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on October 19, 2020, 08:45:58 AM
Pre-rounding changes:
Biden +5

Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 44% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 1% (n/c)
Not sure 1% (n/c)

Head-to-head:
Biden +6

Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 44% (n/c)
Hunter Biden bump Surprise
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: October 20, 2020, 08:11:13 AM »
Biden +2

Biden 48% (-2)
Trump 46% (+2)
Jorgensen 3% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)

H2H: Biden +3

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 46% (+2)
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,531
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: October 20, 2020, 08:11:28 AM »
Lol
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,221


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: October 20, 2020, 08:12:18 AM »
Quote from: VARepublican on October 20, 2020, 08:11:13 AM
Biden +2

Biden 48% (-2)
Trump 46% (+2)
Jorgensen 3% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)

H2H: Biden +3

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 46% (+2)

This is getting ridiculous now. How does a daily tracking poll shift 4% in a day.
Logged
forza nocta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 614


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: October 20, 2020, 08:12:59 AM »
Bruh
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,739


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: October 20, 2020, 08:13:22 AM »
This tracker is too all over the pace, though at least they aren't purposely doing that to push a certain narrative.
Logged
Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,416


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: October 20, 2020, 08:13:43 AM »
Dems in disarray!
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: October 20, 2020, 08:16:45 AM »
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: October 20, 2020, 08:19:03 AM »
I guess people are becoming Republicans because of the money they saved on car insurance.
Logged
vitoNova
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,276
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: October 20, 2020, 08:20:08 AM »
I wonder if certain pollsters use subtle codespeak that makes Trump voters more open to answer questions from a stranger over the phone.  

Something along the lines of:  "Good afternoon!  With the recent events surrounding the coranavirus originating from China, we would appreciate it you would answer some questions yadadayadayada....."

I can't see a diehard Trumper answering ANY questions from an NBC/ABC/whathaveyou poll.  Automatic hang-up.  
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: October 20, 2020, 08:21:48 AM »
IBD wasn’t that good in 2016 but they were spot on in 2018.  Definitely not garbage.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: October 20, 2020, 08:24:30 AM »
Pre-rounding: Biden +2%

Biden 48% (-2)
Trump 46% (+1)
Jorgensen 3% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 1% (n/c)
Not sure 1% (n/c)

Head-to-head: Biden +3%

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 46% (+2)
Logged
Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,108
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: October 20, 2020, 08:25:51 AM »
Yesterday:
Quote from: Buzz on October 19, 2020, 05:32:29 PM



Today:
Quote from: VARepublican on October 20, 2020, 08:11:13 AM
Biden +2

Biden 48% (-2)
Trump 46% (+2)
Jorgensen 3% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)

H2H: Biden +3

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 46% (+2)
Logged
Zache
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 641


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: October 20, 2020, 08:26:48 AM »
I wonder if IBD/TIPP will actually have Trump leading by election day.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,221


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: October 20, 2020, 08:32:53 AM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 20, 2020, 08:21:48 AM
IBD wasn’t that good in 2016 but they were spot on in 2018.  Definitely not garbage.

they aren't garbage but this poll is a hot mess. however, they also had Biden +3 just a few weeks ago before zooming to Biden +11 in a matter of like a week.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,531
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: October 20, 2020, 08:34:38 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 20, 2020, 08:32:53 AM
Quote from: Buzz on October 20, 2020, 08:21:48 AM
IBD wasn’t that good in 2016 but they were spot on in 2018.  Definitely not garbage.

they aren't garbage but this poll is a hot mess. however, they also had Biden +3 just a few weeks ago before zooming to Biden +11 in a matter of like a week.

They also went from Democrats +2 in October of 2018 to Democrats +9 right before the midterms. Wild fluctuations with this poll.
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: October 20, 2020, 08:36:33 AM »
They had these fluctuations in 2018 too. No dice.
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,060
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #49 on: October 20, 2020, 08:45:27 AM »
OK, but let's just for the moment assume that this is a real movement toward Trump.
What could be causing it?

I think it's his resumption of rallies and his dismissal of COVID.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.048 seconds with 12 queries.