Morning Consult: +8 nationally, lots of states (user search)
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  Morning Consult: +8 nationally, lots of states (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult: +8 nationally, lots of states  (Read 2004 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: October 13, 2020, 06:56:15 AM »
This is a strong and impressively consistent national margin for Biden and he's now matching his NPV share in Pennsylvania so it's also a very strong set of state polls in the EC for him (only a 1% disadvantage overall vs. 2.5% for Hillary).  And if any top tier swing state looks too close to call in the polls, Biden would certainly pick Arizona to be the one.

On the other hand, I guess this means we won't ever get state polls with Biden at Obama 2008 margins in the Midwest.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 06:59:55 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 13, 2020, 06:58:41 AM
The only state here that seems wildly out of line is South Carolina, which makes sense since their Graham +6 poll also seemed out of line too. Though if Graham is running 6% behind Trump, and those Trump +6-ish other polls are correct...

Ehhh... unless Harrison is winning, it's actually better for Biden to be down a lot in states like SC.
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