FL-Emerson: Biden+3 (user search)
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  FL-Emerson: Biden+3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Emerson: Biden+3  (Read 1881 times)
kireev
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« on: October 12, 2020, 08:51:58 PM »

The sample is too white: 73%. There is pretty much no way the share of whites is going to be higher than 70%. And they keep making the same silly methodological error: the share of new voters is only 4.4%. It's almost impossible to have such a low share of new voters considering the 18-22 year olds, old folks dying in 4 years and some 2016 voters not voting this year for whatever reason. I am not even mentioning that the turnout this year is going to be higher.  In FL even the 2018 turnout almost matched the 2016 turnout.
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