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October 26, 2020, 07:59:13 PM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +7 in WI and PA
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Author Topic: Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +7 in WI and PA  (Read 1163 times)
forza nocta
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« on: October 12, 2020, 03:14:23 PM »
« edited: October 12, 2020, 03:19:18 PM by forza nocta »

WI:

Biden: 51%
Trump: 44%

PA:

Biden: 51%
Trump: 44%

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-usa-election-battlegrounds-poll-idUKKBN26X2I6

Both 10/6-10/11, LV
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2020, 03:15:26 PM »

I think you messed up the title.
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darthpi
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« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2020, 03:21:02 PM »

Both consistent with Biden +10 nationally
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2020, 03:21:16 PM »

Changes with September 29 - October 5 polls

PA
622 likely voters

Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 44% (-1)

WI
577 likely voters

Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 44% (n/c)
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Dr. Frankenstein
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« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2020, 03:22:54 PM »

They’ve polled MI, AZ, NC and FL as well.

MI:

Biden 51
Trump 43

AZ:

Biden 48
Trump 46

NC:

Biden 47
Trump 47

FL:

Biden 49
Trump 45
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2020, 03:24:18 PM »

They’ve polled MI, AZ, NC and FL as well.

MI:

Biden 51
Trump 43

AZ:

Biden 48
Trump 46

NC:

Biden 47
Trump 47

FL:

Biden 49
Trump 45

No, those were last weeks results in those states. We will see an update in MI/NC tomorrow, and an update in FL/AZ Wednesday.
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Make PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2020, 03:24:54 PM »

Good stuff.
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Dr. Frankenstein
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2020, 03:26:37 PM »


No, those were last weeks results in those states. We will see an update in MI/NC tomorrow, and an update in FL/AZ Wednesday.

My bad, sorry.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2020, 03:26:43 PM »

I see Ipsos has caught up to the rest of polling for PA.
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You Reap What You Sow
Rafe
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« Reply #9 on: October 12, 2020, 03:27:47 PM »

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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #10 on: October 12, 2020, 03:27:53 PM »

Trump isn't on the air in MI, MN, WI or PA, but we must be weary about MI and John James since they didn't bother to poll MI

What gets me about these polls they leave out 1 of the trio of stayes
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #11 on: October 12, 2020, 03:29:53 PM »

Changes with September 29 - October 5 polls

PA
622 likely voters

Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 44% (-1)

WI
577 likely voters

Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 44% (n/c)

Loosening!
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ExSky
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« Reply #12 on: October 12, 2020, 03:36:45 PM »

Biden at 51 in both. Good signs
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TC 25
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« Reply #13 on: October 12, 2020, 03:37:20 PM »

Clinton was up 7 three weeks prior in 2016, at least in WI.
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Beida
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« Reply #14 on: October 12, 2020, 03:41:36 PM »

Clinton was up 7 three weeks prior in 2016, at least in WI.

Yep, Clinton 46-Trump 40 at that time (14% other/undecided).

Compared to Biden 51-Trump 44 (5% other/undecided). Biden's doing 5 pts better than HRC, and Trump's only doing 4 pts better than 2016. Much less room for movement this cycle.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #15 on: October 12, 2020, 03:42:49 PM »

Looks like this will be a weekly tracker now? Neat!
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TC 25
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« Reply #16 on: October 12, 2020, 03:43:02 PM »

Look at the polls three weeks out in 2016 in MI,  PA, and WI.

It's almost identical.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17 on: October 12, 2020, 03:43:57 PM »

Look at the polls three weeks out in 2016 in MI,  PA, and WI.

It's almost identical.

You're leaving out a LOT of context
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You Reap What You Sow
Rafe
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« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2020, 03:44:18 PM »

Look at the polls three weeks out in 2016 in MI,  PA, and WI.

It's almost identical.

Look at 2016 in general. Everything was identical. Remember COVID-16? Terrible.
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ExSky
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« Reply #19 on: October 12, 2020, 03:50:00 PM »

Clinton was up 7 three weeks prior in 2016, at least in WI.
And about 2 weeks before the election James Comey happened
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CellarDoor
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« Reply #20 on: October 12, 2020, 03:55:10 PM »

Look at the polls three weeks out in 2016 in MI,  PA, and WI.

It's almost identical.

With the exception of Biden being over 50%, Trump being the actual president with a record, Biden's favorability ratings being sky-high compared to Trump/Clinton's, Biden considered to be the more honest/trustworthy candidate by large margins, undecided demographics generally skewing toward Biden, and the average polling leads being greater for Biden and much more consistent week-to-week than the were for Clinton, everything is identical to 2016.
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roxas11
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« Reply #21 on: October 12, 2020, 03:59:57 PM »

Clinton was up 7 three weeks prior in 2016, at least in WI.

Hillary was still stuck in the 40s and there was way more undecided voters at the time 

Biden is above 50 and there are very few undecided voters
Also lot more people have already voted in 2020 compared to 2016
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darthpi
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« Reply #22 on: October 12, 2020, 04:16:48 PM »

Clinton was up 7 three weeks prior in 2016, at least in WI.

I cannot wait until the election is done and I never have to read a comment saying this ever again.
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Monstro Still Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia
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« Reply #23 on: October 12, 2020, 04:19:26 PM »

Even more so this month, I'm tired of all the blue/green avatars giving us the state of polling at this point in 2016.

It's derailed these threads more than usual lately
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #24 on: October 12, 2020, 04:29:10 PM »

Even more so this month, I'm tired of all the blue/green avatars giving us the state of polling at this point in 2016.

It's derailed these threads more than usual lately

It’s really the only argument they have left I guess as to why Trump is still favored
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