90% of undecideds supported Trump for president in 2016. Sticking with my Daines +2-3 prediction.
Undecideds are disproportionately non-white and disproportionately independent. This looks like a real nail-biter.
Lol, your analysis is pretty different from mine. Just keep in mind that non-whites make up a very small percentage of the electorate in Montana (just 9%).
Yeah, I hate to say it but the crosstabs show not a single undecided voter having voted for Hillary Clinton four years ago. Basically we're dealing with 7% of 2016 Trump voters who are undecided, plus 4% of those who voted third party or didn't vote,
Granted, a lot can be off with such a small sub sample size, but if we take it at face value fwiw oh, that's not encouraging news for Bullock