CBS: Biden +6% in MI and NV; tied in IA (user search)
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  CBS: Biden +6% in MI and NV; tied in IA (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS: Biden +6% in MI and NV; tied in IA  (Read 2100 times)
Buzz
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,186


« on: October 11, 2020, 10:27:28 AM »

Numbers are much more indicative of a 7-8 point national lead vs the double digits we are seeing.
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Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2020, 10:54:30 AM »

Numbers are much more indicative of a 7-8 point national lead vs the double digits we are seeing.

Eh, not really. Trump won IA by 9.5% in 2016, IA would represent a 9.5% shift from 2016 (Biden +11 then), while Michigan, depending on the leaner model, is a 7-9% shift from 2016, which would be Biden +10 to +12 then. And then if you assume NV is really like Biden +9 given their polling errors, that would be a 7pt shift, for Biden +9 then.

So these essentially show a Biden +9-12 race nationally... which it is.
The words essentially and assuming were used far too often in your response to take it seriously.
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