GA-PPP: Biden +1 (user search)
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  GA-PPP: Biden +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-PPP: Biden +1  (Read 4210 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,401
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

« on: October 10, 2020, 08:00:39 AM »

Turnout and getting the votes to count will be the key.  

As for comparing this year to 2016--far more Democratic presence for federal and state offices in metro Atlanta (city, suburbs, and exurbs).  You can even go to Hall County (73% vote for Trump) and see a few Biden signs in subdivisions.

But rural north Georgia has a sea of Trump and Perdue/Collins signs everywhere.

Does this indicate that Trump/Collins are underrepresented in polls?
It doesn't need to be a big underrepresentation for both Trump and Collins to win by a small margin.

Signs are a relatively poor indicator for election results.  There's a number of reasons, but here's an illustration:

I recently was driving through a suburb in New Castle County, DE (a solidly Democratic county).  In one neighborhood, there was at least fifteen Trump signs within about a half mile.  

You might look at that and say "huh, that must mean Trump has undetected pockets of support here".  But then, as I neared the exit to this neighborhood, I saw a man with a bunch of Trump signs under his arm as he worked on staking another sign into the ground.  
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