Here are my predictions for 2024 assuming that Joe Biden defeats Donald Trump and opts to set down after one term:
Scenario 1:
Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 418 EVs (56%)
Fox News Host Tucker Carlson (R-DC)/Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS): 120 EVs (42%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)
Scenario 2:
Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 289 EVs (50%)
Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (R-SC)/Congressman Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 249 EVs (48%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)
Likewise, here are my predictions for 2024 if Donald Trump defeats Joe Biden:
Scenario 1:
Businessman Donald Trump Jr (R-MT)/Fox News Host Tucker Carlson (R-DC): 299 EVs (47%)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI): 239 EVs (51%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)
Scenario 2:
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Businessman Donald Trump Jr (R-MT): 279 EVs (46%)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI): 259 EVs (52%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)
I know that Donald Trump has stated that he wants to serve as President until 2032, so it is possible that he attempts to run for a third term in 2024 if he re-elected despite the fact that he is constitutionally barred from doing so.
Different EV vote count per state then. so
