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Author Topic: Post your 2024 maps!  (Read 1471 times)
Agonized-Statism
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« on: October 10, 2020, 12:28:51 AM »



Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA) / UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN) ✓
Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) / Fmr. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (R-KS)

Issues of the Day: Iran War, China, Policy response to COVID-19 recession, Gun control
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2020, 07:22:01 AM »



Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA) / Governor Roy Cooper (D-NC) ✓
Fmr. Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) / Governor Kristi Noem (R-SD)

Issues of the Day: White nationalist domestic terrorism, economic response to covid-19 pandemic, Chinese-American relations, the rise of Deep Fakes/AI/technology in general, social media influence on elections.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2020, 01:49:52 PM »



✓ President Joseph R. Biden (D-DE)/Vice President Kamala D. Harris (D-CA): ~ 360 EV. (52.76%)
Former Vice President Michael R. Pence (R-IN)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL): ~ 178 EV. (46.39%)




✓ Vice President Kamala D. Harris (D-CA)/UN Ambassador Peter Buttigieg (D-IN): ~ 335 EV. (51.66%)
Former Vice President Michael R. Pence (R-IN)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL): ~ 203 EV. (47.34%)
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2020, 01:58:59 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2020, 02:16:22 PM by MATTROSE94 »

Here are my predictions for 2024 assuming that Joe Biden defeats Donald Trump and opts to set down after one term:

Scenario 1:

Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 418 EVs (56%)
Fox News Host Tucker Carlson (R-DC)/Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS): 120 EVs (42%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

Scenario 2:

Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 289 EVs (50%)
Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (R-SC)/Congressman Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 249 EVs (48%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

Likewise, here are my predictions for 2024 if Donald Trump defeats Joe Biden:

Scenario 1:

Businessman Donald Trump Jr (R-MT)/Fox News Host Tucker Carlson (R-DC): 299 EVs (47%)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI): 239 EVs (51%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

Scenario 2:

President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Businessman Donald Trump Jr (R-MT): 279 EVs (46%)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI): 259 EVs (52%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

I know that Donald Trump has stated that he wants to serve as President until 2032, so it is possible that he attempts to run for a third term in 2024 if he re-elected despite the fact that he is constitutionally barred from doing so.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2020, 02:36:38 PM »

Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA) / UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN) - 232
Former Governor Nikki Haley (R-SC) / Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) - 306

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dw93
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2020, 04:17:10 PM »

Democratic Ceiling (after a 2020 Biden win):



President Kamala Harris / Vice President Roy Cooper: WINNERS
Senator Tom Cotton / Senator Joni Ernst: Losers

President Biden resigns after the 2022 midterms (which are better than expected for the Dems) citing poor health, Kamala Harris ascends to the Presidency and wins the election with the Incumbency advantage, a recovering economy, and a laughably bad opponent.

Democratic Floor (after a 2020 Biden win):



Senator Tim Scott / Congressman Dan Crenshaw: WINNERS
Vice President Harris / Fmr. UN Ambassador Pet Buttigieg: Losers

President Biden finishes out the term, despite noticeable health issues, and declines to seek another term. The economy, barely recovering through the first two years, heads back into recession in late 2023 due to increased Oil Prices due instability in the Middle East, thanks to the Iran War, and increased tensions with China. Harris is painted out as the Dick Cheney 2.0 to an old and frail Biden's George W. Bush, and is blamed for the problems accordingly.

Democratic Ceiling (after a 2020 Trump win, assuming our Democracy is still in tact):



Governor Gretchen Whitmer / Senator Jeff Merkley: WINNERS
Vice President Mike Pence / Fmr. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley: Losers

Democratic Floor (after a 2020 Trump win, assuming our Democracy is still in tact):



Senator Elizabeth Warren / Governor Jay Inslee: WINNERS
Vice President Mike Pence / Fmr. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley; Losers

I don't see any other GOP ticket other than Pence/Haley after a 2nd Trump term. Everything that could go wrong, short of the country officially becoming a dictatorship, goes wrong. In the Trump 2nd term Democratic floor scenario however, the floor being hit has more to the flaws/weaknesses of the Democratic ticket, than any strength in the GOP.


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Ljube
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2020, 11:30:10 AM »

Nikki Haley would have a map like this:




It would be very difficult for her to win, as she would have to run the table with the battleground states. It will depend very much on the Democratic candidate.
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S019ian Liberal
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2020, 07:57:37 PM »

Here are my predictions for 2024 assuming that Joe Biden defeats Donald Trump and opts to set down after one term:

Scenario 1:

Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 418 EVs (56%)
Fox News Host Tucker Carlson (R-DC)/Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS): 120 EVs (42%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

Scenario 2:

Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 289 EVs (50%)
Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (R-SC)/Congressman Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 249 EVs (48%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

Likewise, here are my predictions for 2024 if Donald Trump defeats Joe Biden:

Scenario 1:

Businessman Donald Trump Jr (R-MT)/Fox News Host Tucker Carlson (R-DC): 299 EVs (47%)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI): 239 EVs (51%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

Scenario 2:

President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Businessman Donald Trump Jr (R-MT): 279 EVs (46%)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI): 259 EVs (52%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

I know that Donald Trump has stated that he wants to serve as President until 2032, so it is possible that he attempts to run for a third term in 2024 if he re-elected despite the fact that he is constitutionally barred from doing so.
Different EV vote count per state then. so
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Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
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« Reply #8 on: January 22, 2022, 08:51:37 PM »

Here are my predictions for 2024 assuming that Joe Biden defeats Donald Trump and opts to set down after one term:

Scenario 1:

Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 418 EVs (56%)
Fox News Host Tucker Carlson (R-DC)/Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS): 120 EVs (42%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

Scenario 2:

Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/UN Ambassador Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 289 EVs (50%)
Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (R-SC)/Congressman Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 249 EVs (48%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

Likewise, here are my predictions for 2024 if Donald Trump defeats Joe Biden:

Scenario 1:

Businessman Donald Trump Jr (R-MT)/Fox News Host Tucker Carlson (R-DC): 299 EVs (47%)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI): 239 EVs (51%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

Scenario 2:

President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Businessman Donald Trump Jr (R-MT): 279 EVs (46%)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI): 259 EVs (52%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

I know that Donald Trump has stated that he wants to serve as President until 2032, so it is possible that he attempts to run for a third term in 2024 if he re-elected despite the fact that he is constitutionally barred from doing so.

How did Tucker win Wisconsin before Iowa and Indiana?
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Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
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« Reply #9 on: January 22, 2022, 08:55:00 PM »
« Edited: January 23, 2022, 05:57:15 PM by Everyone Needs Jesus Christ »

Early prediction but a lot could happen. Trump declines to run because he's worried about losing. DeSantis survives a crowded primary thanks to Trump's endorsement and chooses South Dakota governor Kristi Noem as his running mate. Noem being on the ticket leads to a Palin effect, resulting in moderates who would've switched to DeSantis, staying with Harris, despite her below water approval rating as a result. Biden declines to run for a second term, and the Dems nominate Kamala Harris with minimal opposition. Kamala chooses Pete Buttigieg in an attempt to maintain the Rust Belt which is largely successful. Some Cubans switch back to Harris, as well as suburbanites in central Florida and near Jacksonville, allowing Kamala to narrowly win despite it being Ron DeSantis's home state. Harris also increases her wins in Arizona and Georgia due to sun belt growth.



Kamala Harris/Pete Buttigieg: 332 E.V.
Ron DeSantis/Kristi Noem: 206 E.V.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #10 on: January 23, 2022, 01:50:52 AM »

Early prediction but a lot could happen. Trump declines to run because he's worried about losing. DeSantis survives a crowded primary thanks to Trump's endorsement and chooses South Dakota governor Kristi Noem as his running mate. Noem being on the ticket leads to a Palin effect, resulting in moderates who would've switched to DeSantis, staying with Harris, despite her below water approval rating as a result. Biden declines to run for a second term, and the Dems nominate Kamala Harris with minimal opposition. Kamala chooses Pete Buttigieg in an attempt to maintain the Rust Belt which is largely successful. Some Cubans switch back to Harris, as well as suburbanites in central Florida and near Jacksonville, allowing Kamala to narrowly win despite it being Ron DeSantis's home state. Harris also increases her wins in Arizona and Georgia due to sun belt growth.



Kamala Harris/Pete Buttigieg: 332 E.V.
Ron DeSantis/Kristi Noem: 206 E.V.
This is like saying the GOP will win in 2008, circa 2006
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