Democratic Ceiling (after a 2020 Biden win):President Kamala Harris / Vice President Roy Cooper: WINNERSSenator Tom Cotton / Senator Joni Ernst: LosersPresident Biden resigns after the 2022 midterms (which are better than expected for the Dems) citing poor health, Kamala Harris ascends to the Presidency and wins the election with the Incumbency advantage, a recovering economy, and a laughably bad opponent.
Democratic Floor (after a 2020 Biden win):Senator Tim Scott / Congressman Dan Crenshaw: WINNERSVice President Harris / Fmr. UN Ambassador Pet Buttigieg: LosersPresident Biden finishes out the term, despite noticeable health issues, and declines to seek another term. The economy, barely recovering through the first two years, heads back into recession in late 2023 due to increased Oil Prices due instability in the Middle East, thanks to the Iran War, and increased tensions with China. Harris is painted out as the Dick Cheney 2.0 to an old and frail Biden's George W. Bush, and is blamed for the problems accordingly.
Democratic Ceiling (after a 2020 Trump win, assuming our Democracy is still in tact):Governor Gretchen Whitmer / Senator Jeff Merkley: WINNERSVice President Mike Pence / Fmr. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley: LosersDemocratic Floor (after a 2020 Trump win, assuming our Democracy is still in tact):Senator Elizabeth Warren / Governor Jay Inslee: WINNERSVice President Mike Pence / Fmr. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley; LosersI don't see any other GOP ticket other than Pence/Haley after a 2nd Trump term. Everything that could go wrong, short of the country officially becoming a dictatorship, goes wrong. In the Trump 2nd term Democratic floor scenario however, the floor being hit has more to the flaws/weaknesses of the Democratic ticket, than any strength in the GOP.
