GA-WSB-TV: Trump+2
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  GA-WSB-TV: Trump+2
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Author Topic: GA-WSB-TV: Trump+2  (Read 2493 times)
DrScholl
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« Reply #25 on: October 09, 2020, 06:02:27 PM »

Biden get 28% of the White vote in the crosstabs and 4.5% of the Black vote is undecided vs. 3.4% of the White vote. There is room for Biden to grow.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: October 09, 2020, 06:23:14 PM »

Conducted by Landmark Communications
October 7
600 likely voters
MoE: 4%
Changes with September 30, 2020

Trump 49% (+4)
Biden 47% (n/c)
Jorgensen 1% (-2)
Undecided 4% (-2)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #27 on: October 09, 2020, 06:56:48 PM »

Jorgensen is gonna take votes away from Biden in some of these states, we can't discount third party votes in any of these states, that's why AZ is close.

Trump can win reelection just like in 2016 based on third parties
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #28 on: October 09, 2020, 08:26:06 PM »

Glad to see public polling finally catching up to what true internals on both sides (along with Loeffler's actions) have been showing for months: she is and has been in trouble.

I've been fully expecting a Warnock-Collins runoff since June.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #29 on: October 10, 2020, 12:17:49 AM »

New Poll: Georgia President by Landmark Communications on 2020-10-07

Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Umengus
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« Reply #30 on: October 10, 2020, 03:17:27 AM »

Good poll for trump because:

-he's leading (and +4 for him compared at their last poll)

-Again a state poll which doens't confirm the Biden +12-+16 national lead.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #31 on: October 10, 2020, 08:05:05 AM »


I don’t get why people think this matters, polls that had Abrams and Kemp tied were 64% white as well.

There doesn’t need to be a polling error for GA to flip. But if Biden can’t lead a poll here, 413 won’t happen.

He can.  In the last 9 polls (the 8 shown on 538's GA polling page plus this one) Biden has led in 5 of them, Trump has led in 3, and one has been tied. 

Exactly what I was going to say. Including PPP today, Biden has led more than Trump has.

It's a total tossup but given that most of the pollsters that have had Trump up have some wonky crosstabs, I'd say it's still Bidens to lose
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ExSky
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« Reply #32 on: October 10, 2020, 12:04:04 PM »

Trump is going to win Ga, Florida and Nc. The election will be won or lost in Pa.

Ah yes, Trump is all but guaranteed  to win FL, where he trails Biden by an average of 4% and where polls were only off by 2.4% in 2018.

I think that post if more of a Hopeful wish than an actual prediction
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Coastal_Elite
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« Reply #33 on: October 10, 2020, 11:38:55 PM »


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_KlulA4PI0g
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