PEW: Biden +10

[Gass3268]

Biden 52 (-1)
Trump 42 (-3)

Changes are from July 27-August 2. A rare PEW poll that is released right after it was taken, not 1-2 weeks afterwards like normal.

https://twitter.com/nick_field90/status/1314419091000750082?s=20

[Buzz]

Obviously not good for Trump, and just another double digit poll to add to this weeks list.  Noticing a trend with Biden maxing out around 52.  Goes with my PV prediction of it ending up around 52-46.

[Panda Express]

Pew is a high quality pollster. It's a shame they only poll once in a blue moon. This will probably be their final poll of 2020

[Horus]

Would like to see Biden ahead by more but I'll take it.

[WD]

Would like to see Biden ahead by more but I'll take it.

Is this sarcasm? Because +10 is pretty good.

[Panda Express]

lol the education gap

White people with a college degree - Biden +21
White people with no college degree - Trump +26

[brucejoel99]

Will this poll finally be the one that pushes the 538 average over the 'double-digit' edge?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Which candidate voters trust to handle certain issues-

Economy: Trump+1
Law and order: Biden+4
Supreme Court: Biden+6
Foreign policy: Biden+9
Coronavirus: Biden+17
Uniting the country: Biden+20

[forza nocta]

Apparently current 3rd party voters lean Trump +10

https://twitter.com/nick_field90/status/1314420485917159425?s=21

[Horus]

Would like to see Biden ahead by more but I'll take it.

Is this sarcasm? Because +10 is pretty good.

I think 9-10 is about the minimum Biden has to win by without it being stolen in one way or another.

[Gass3268]

The issues:

Economy: Trump+1
Law and order: Biden+4
Supreme Court: Biden+6
Foreign policy: Biden+9
Coronavirus: Biden+17
Uniting the country: Biden+20

Qualities:
Compassionate: Biden +33
Good Role Model: Biden +26
Honset: Biden +18
Courageous: Biden +6
Mentally Sharp: Trump +4 (lol after this last week)
Stands Up For What He Believes In: Trump +8

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Would like to see Biden ahead by more but I'll take it.

Is this sarcasm? Because +10 is pretty good.

I think 9-10 is about the minimum Biden has to win by without it being stolen in one way or another.

You’re a joke

[Holmes]

Mentally sharp........

[Horus]

Would like to see Biden ahead by more but I'll take it.

Is this sarcasm? Because +10 is pretty good.

I think 9-10 is about the minimum Biden has to win by without it being stolen in one way or another.

You’re a joke

Only one in four countries that experience democratic backsliding have recovered. Not good odds.

[Bootes Void]

Mentally sharp........

how do people seriously believe trump is mentally sharp, I will never understand

[Gass3268]

Massive sample size and a solid response rate.

https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1314426742984118279?s=20

[Dr. Arch]

Massive sample size and a solid response rate.

https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1314426742984118279?s=20

That's a really tight methodology. The range is Biden+7 to Biden+13 with MoE applied.

[Hammy]

Used the Cook demographic calculator and plugged those in, and put turnout at 65% to match the margin (+6 to +7) this would realistically produce.

Stands Up For What He Believes In: Trump +8

Not sure why this is on there as it's too subjective and not always a good thing depending on what one believes.

[TheLaRocca]

Yeah, Biden basically consolidated the anti-Trump undecideds (nonwhite young men....which explains why Bidens jumped from low 50s with Hispanics to mid-60s in the past month) and some undecided olds. brings him up to 52% which is the % that really dislikes Trump.

The remaining undecideds / third voters are right-wingers who dislike Trump due to his repugnant behavior. So 52-42 and the last 6% (the last 6% break Trump 60-40).

That's my read on this.

[Gass3268]

Apparently current 3rd party voters lean Trump +10

snip

This makes sense considering Libertarians recently have done about 3x better than Greens.

[Holmes]

Some posters want a horse race so bad, they really believe Trump will get almost every undecided voter... not taking into account the fact that undecideds hate Trump more.

[Big Abraham]

The fact that Trump is only +1 on the economy is awful for him. This is/was his one strong spot. Hell, it's been the strong spot for any Republican, in any given national election. The fact that this poll has him basically tied with Biden (and there was another poll recently that actually showed Biden ahead on the economy) means it's basically done. He's got nothing left.

[Andy Hine]

There's a lot of people on this forum who are obsessed with politics yet have no idea how elections work. I suggest you all find new hobbies.

[H. Ross Peron]

Would like to see Biden ahead by more but I'll take it.

Is this sarcasm? Because +10 is pretty good.

I think 9-10 is about the minimum Biden has to win by without it being stolen in one way or another.

You’re a joke

Only one in four countries that experience democratic backsliding have recovered. Not good odds.

US hasn't "backslided" democratically, at least not unless you also count the Bush and Reagan administrations as such. 2018 midterms demonstrated this.

Anyways this poll is much more "normal" compared to other ones in terms of crosstabs-ie Biden doing strongly with seniors without the large leads you see in some. Feel Biden can improve a bit with Latinos and WWC voters with some more bread and butter type ads, but overall he has a solid lead.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1314433299687911425?s=20