MI - Emerson: Peters +10% (user search)
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  MI - Emerson: Peters +10% (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI - Emerson: Peters +10%  (Read 1299 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: October 08, 2020, 09:44:15 PM »

Probably inflating the margin like in Daines' case, but yeah, hard to see how the tidal wave doesn’t save Peters.

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.

Just like how Barbara Mikulski lost to Alan Keyes.

What’s the point of this analogy? (asking because you actually made this comment unironically)
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,283
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2020, 11:08:12 PM »

My point is that I think it is more likely that John James is on track to becoming Alan Keyes 2.0.

Alan Keyes was a candidate in different states, also happened to run in the most Democratic states in the country, badly underperformed the partisan lean of the states he chose to run in, underperformed the top of the ticket substantially in all of his races, and was altogether a far worse campaigner than James. The only thing they have in common is that they’re black.

Even if you didn’t choose the analogy for that reason alone, it’s completely ridiculous to compare his chances of beating Peters to Keyes' chances of unseating Mikulski in 2004. James could probably win some statewide race in 2022 if he decided to go for it, although I don’t expect him to. He’s losing not because he’s a "Keyes-tier candidate" but because he had the misfortune of running in two Democratic tidal wave elections.
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