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October 21, 2020, 02:49:30 AM
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  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  MI - Emerson: Peters +10%
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Author Topic: MI - Emerson: Peters +10%  (Read 374 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: October 08, 2020, 07:16:58 PM »

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/michigan-2020-democrats-hold-10-point-leads-in-presidential-and-us-senate-races

October 6-7
716 likely voters
MoE: 3.6%
Margins calculated pre-rounding

Peters 51%
James 41%
Someone else 2%
Undecided 6%
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2020, 07:20:27 PM »

Makes me wonder to why they're dumping money into this race..

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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2020, 07:21:21 PM »

They give us a realistic poll after that MT poll that showed Bullock losing by 9, but Bullock can definitely win while Cooney get blowout by Gianforte, in a blue wave of course
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2020, 07:32:16 PM »

What happened to Memerson. You either trust it or you don't; not just when it shows good news for your side. Lean D, I don't buy Peters wins by 10% just yet.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2020, 07:53:59 PM »

New Poll: Michigan Senator by Emerson College on 2020-10-07

Summary: D: 51%, R: 41%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2020, 08:20:56 PM »

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.
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Stockdale for Veep
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2020, 08:25:09 PM »

This is pre Redneck Rebel bump.
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Abolish class
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2020, 08:35:11 PM »

wrong but peters won't lose
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TML
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« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2020, 09:13:39 PM »

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.

Just like how Barbara Mikulski lost to Alan Keyes.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2020, 09:30:13 PM »

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.

Just like how Barbara Mikulski lost to Alan Keyes.
John James is one of the best Republican Senate recruits in recent memory and he is going to curb stomp Gary Peters badly on November 3rd.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2020, 09:33:19 PM »

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.

Just like how Barbara Mikulski lost to Alan Keyes.
John James is one of the best Republican Senate recruits in recent memory and he is going to curb stomp Gary Peters badly on November 3rd.

Please tell me you're being sarcastic
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Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same
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« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2020, 09:34:44 PM »

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.

Just like how Barbara Mikulski lost to Alan Keyes.
John James is one of the best Republican Senate recruits in recent memory and he is going to curb stomp Gary Peters badly on November 3rd.

What are you talking about bro? Peters will crack 70%, heíll probably even win a majority of Registered Republicans. This is titanium D, Markey is more likely to lose tbh imo.
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FalterinArc
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« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2020, 09:35:11 PM »

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.

Just like how Barbara Mikulski lost to Alan Keyes.
John James is one of the best Republican Senate recruits in recent memory and he is going to curb stomp Gary Peters badly on November 3rd.

Please tell me you're being sarcastic
He's been trolling for the last week over how Republicans are going to net 80 seats in the house due to the sympathy bump
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Arlington County Moderate 4 Trump (Against Bernie)
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« Reply #13 on: October 08, 2020, 09:44:15 PM »

Probably inflating the margin like in Daines' case, but yeah, hard to see how the tidal wave doesnít save Peters.

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.

Just like how Barbara Mikulski lost to Alan Keyes.

Whatís the point of this analogy? (asking because you actually made this comment unironically)
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TML
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« Reply #14 on: October 08, 2020, 10:51:07 PM »
« Edited: October 08, 2020, 10:58:09 PM by TML »

Probably inflating the margin like in Daines' case, but yeah, hard to see how the tidal wave doesnít save Peters.

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.

Just like how Barbara Mikulski lost to Alan Keyes.

Whatís the point of this analogy? (asking because you actually made this comment unironically)

My point is that I think it is more likely that John James is on track to becoming Alan Keyes 2.0.
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Arlington County Moderate 4 Trump (Against Bernie)
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« Reply #15 on: October 08, 2020, 11:08:12 PM »

My point is that I think it is more likely that John James is on track to becoming Alan Keyes 2.0.

Alan Keyes was a candidate in different states, also happened to run in the most Democratic states in the country, badly underperformed the partisan lean of the states he chose to run in, underperformed the top of the ticket substantially in all of his races, and was altogether a far worse campaigner than James. The only thing they have in common is that theyíre black.

Even if you didnít choose the analogy for that reason alone, itís completely ridiculous to compare his chances of beating Peters to Keyes' chances of unseating Mikulski in 2004. James could probably win some statewide race in 2022 if he decided to go for it, although I donít expect him to. Heís losing not because heís a "Keyes-tier candidate" but because he had the misfortune of running in two Democratic tidal wave elections.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #16 on: October 08, 2020, 11:21:13 PM »

My point is that I think it is more likely that John James is on track to becoming Alan Keyes 2.0.

Alan Keyes was a candidate in different states, also happened to run in the most Democratic states in the country, badly underperformed the partisan lean of the states he chose to run in, underperformed the top of the ticket substantially in all of his races, and was altogether a far worse campaigner than James. The only thing they have in common is that theyíre black.

Even if you didnít choose the analogy for that reason alone, itís completely ridiculous to compare his chances of beating Peters to Keyes' chances of unseating Mikulski in 2004. James could probably win some statewide race in 2022 if he decided to go for it, although I donít expect him to. Heís losing not because heís a "Keyes-tier candidate" but because he had the misfortune of running in two Democratic tidal wave elections.

Keyes lost to Mikulski in 1992; it was Obama who defeated him in 2004. But otherwise, I'd agree with this. Another difference is that James is pretty much a generic Republican, who hasn't tied himself too closely to Trump and has made some effort to reach out to black voters. Keyes, on the other hand, was very conservative, made no such effort to reach out to swing or opposing-party voters, and was so bitter about his loss to Obama that he refused to concede the race to him.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17 on: October 09, 2020, 05:17:17 AM »

Makes me wonder to why they're dumping money into this race..



Bc James is the only GOP candidate that's actually raising $$ and McConnell's super pacs are dumping money into this race? I believe they just dumped another $9M in. Would be stupid of Dems to not do anything.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #18 on: October 09, 2020, 09:48:49 AM »

This poll is wrong. Gary Peters is going to lose reelection somewhat easily to John James.

Just like how Barbara Mikulski lost to Alan Keyes.
John James is one of the best Republican Senate recruits in recent memory and he is going to curb stomp Gary Peters badly on November 3rd.

What are you talking about bro? Peters will crack 70%, heíll probably even win a majority of Registered Republicans. This is titanium D, Markey is more likely to lose tbh imo.
Gary Peters is not #Populist 💖 enough and is a very weak and undistinguished politician at best. John James, on the other hand, comes across as a strong candidate despite his atrocious political views, which is enough for him to win this November.
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