Joe Biden will win the most EV for a winning candidate since...?

[Politics Fan]

If as an example you think Biden wins 351 EV you would answer Barack Obama 2008 as his total would surpass Obama EV total in 2012 and Trumps in 2016. I'll bump this thread once every state has been called.

[DrScholl]

I voted Clinton 1996, but Biden exceeding that number is not out of the question.

[Alcibiades]

At this point I have Biden on 413 EV, so I said Bush Sr.

[Hammy]

Bush 2004.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Biden needs both Ohio and Georgia to pass Obama 2008, and I'm on the fence as to whether he has better than a coin flip's chance of doing so.

EDIT: Unless he can win Texas, of course.

[MillennialModerate]

Biden needs both Ohio and Georgia to pass Obama 2008, and I'm on the fence as to whether he has better than a coin flip's chance of doing so.

EDIT: Unless he can win Texas, of course.

Better chance of Texas then Georgia.

I feel so optimistic right now about this race I’m waiting for the other shoe to drop

[Progressive Pessimist]

I still think Biden's Electoral College victory is going to be disproportionately small relative to his popular vote victory.

I'm over fretting about Democratic complacency or voter suppression throwing the election to Trump, though I do think the latter could cost Biden some close contests like Georgia and Texas.

Regardless, it should still be a significant victory. Probably the bigger than Obama 2012.

[BigVic]

Obama 2012

[Turbo Flame]

Since Trump 2016. I don't see Biden cracking Obama's 2012 EV total. At least, not right now.

[Liberalrocks]

At this point I have Biden on 413 EV, so I said Bush Sr.

[Buzz]

He’s getting 290 tops, so Trump 2016

[brucejoel99]

At this point I have Biden on 413 EV, so I said Bush Sr.

[Big Abraham]

Obama 2008. I see him winning all of the Obama '12 states minus Iowa, but probably including NC and very likely Arizona. That puts Biden at 352 (or 353 including the 2nd Nebraska district and Maine's 2nd, although the latter of which I suspect Trump wins)

[JRP1994]

Biden needs both Ohio and Georgia to pass Obama 2008, and I'm on the fence as to whether he has better than a coin flip's chance of doing so.

EDIT: Unless he can win Texas, of course.

Better chance of Texas then Georgia.

I feel so optimistic right now about this race I’m waiting for the other shoe to drop

Nah. I still think Biden has a better chance of winning GA/OH/IA than TX.

[Orser67]

Voted Obama 08, but the 413 map is very much on the table, and I feel pretty confident he'll beat Trump's 2016 total.

[Horus]

If he wins it'll be under 300

[It’s so Joever]

Watch Atlas be super disappointed when at best, it is the 278 map and NE-02.
The landslide is not happening.
413 is a pipe dream.
Florida won’t flip because of Miami-Dade, North Carolina was always a wash, Georgia Republicans will ensure there is no coveted GA flip, IA/OH/TX were never on the table to begin with, and AZ will be close but will narrowly go to Trump.

If literally any one of these red states (except AZ because I’m not sure on that one) or some other fool’s gold state like MT/AK goes to Biden and he wins the election, I will change my avatar to “Idiotic Doomer” for the next four years.

There is probably a much higher chance Trump wins one of the three MI/WI/PA than Biden winning TX, by the way.
Quote me on this if I am wrong in a month, I dare you.

[Hammy]

Watch Atlas be super disappointed when at best, it is the 278 map and NE-02.
The landslide is not happening.
413 is a pipe dream.
Florida won’t flip because of Miami-Dade, North Carolina was always a wash, Georgia Republicans will ensure there is no coveted GA flip, IA/OH/TX were never on the table to begin with, and AZ will be close but will narrowly go to Trump.

If literally any one of these red states (except AZ because I’m not sure on that one) or some other fool’s gold state like MT/AK goes to Biden and he wins the election, I will change my avatar to “Idiotic Doomer” for the next four years.

There is probably a much higher chance Trump wins one of the three MI/WI/PA than Biden winning TX, by the way.
Quote me on this if I am wrong in a month, I dare you.

While I agree most of Atlas is going to be disappointed and Biden will underperform most of the maps here, I have to disagree about Texas--PPP having Biden at +1 there (and they've underestimated Dems the last two cycles both there and Arizona) means it is very much on the table. I'd say high 300s is best case, not 278.

279-290 is however the most likely range (I'm not sold on Trump winning ME-02 again)

[Ferguson97]

Somewhere around the Obama 2012 - Clinton 1996 range.

[It’s so Joever]

Watch Atlas be super disappointed when at best, it is the 278 map and NE-02.
The landslide is not happening.
413 is a pipe dream.
Florida won’t flip because of Miami-Dade, North Carolina was always a wash, Georgia Republicans will ensure there is no coveted GA flip, IA/OH/TX were never on the table to begin with, and AZ will be close but will narrowly go to Trump.

If literally any one of these red states (except AZ because I’m not sure on that one) or some other fool’s gold state like MT/AK goes to Biden and he wins the election, I will change my avatar to “Idiotic Doomer” for the next four years.

There is probably a much higher chance Trump wins one of the three MI/WI/PA than Biden winning TX, by the way.
Quote me on this if I am wrong in a month, I dare you.

Well...looks like I was wrong about Georgia, if this hold I will keep the name change.

[dw93]

Donald Trump in 2016 at this point.

[Mr. Smith]

Given that Arizona seems poised to remain an R-hold, it appears no answer is correct.

[S019ian Liberal]

Watch Atlas be super disappointed when at best, it is the 278 map and NE-02.
The landslide is not happening.
413 is a pipe dream.
Florida won’t flip because of Miami-Dade, North Carolina was always a wash, Georgia Republicans will ensure there is no coveted GA flip, IA/OH/TX were never on the table to begin with, and AZ will be close but will narrowly go to Trump.

If literally any one of these red states (except AZ because I’m not sure on that one) or some other fool’s gold state like MT/AK goes to Biden and he wins the election, I will change my avatar to “Idiotic Doomer” for the next four years.

There is probably a much higher chance Trump wins one of the three MI/WI/PA than Biden winning TX, by the way.
Quote me on this if I am wrong in a month, I dare you.

Well...looks like I was wrong about Georgia, if this hold I will keep the name change.

Is your new username's handle a joke to mock yer opponents and make fun of their errors, or something serious?

[Horus]

If he wins it'll be under 300

Oops

[John Dule]

Watch Atlas be super disappointed when at best, it is the 278 map and NE-02.
The landslide is not happening.
413 is a pipe dream.
Florida won’t flip because of Miami-Dade, North Carolina was always a wash, Georgia Republicans will ensure there is no coveted GA flip, IA/OH/TX were never on the table to begin with, and AZ will be close but will narrowly go to Trump.

If literally any one of these red states (except AZ because I’m not sure on that one) or some other fool’s gold state like MT/AK goes to Biden and he wins the election, I will change my avatar to “Idiotic Doomer” for the next four years.

There is probably a much higher chance Trump wins one of the three MI/WI/PA than Biden winning TX, by the way.
Quote me on this if I am wrong in a month, I dare you.

Well...looks like I was wrong about Georgia, if this hold I will keep the name change.

Ditch that name. Honestly, you were right to be worried in hindsight given these results. Biden will win the presidency with three states that will all be decided by less than a percentage point.