redjohn
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,685
Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17
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« on: October 08, 2020, 05:03:47 PM » |
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Looks about right. Biden wins by anywhere from 8 to 15 points.
By the way: I don't really know how you can simultaneously agree that NH is going to swing 10 points and deny that Biden is very likely to win in ME, PA, and do well across the great lakes region. Voters in NH aren't some special breed of liberal white voters that are going to vote exceptionally different from white voters in WI+MI; these regions usually swing together and you're going to see similar trends across northern swing states.
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